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Wolfsberger AC v Grazer AK, Austrian Bundesliga, Sat, 13 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 20. Sat, 13 Feb 2027

Wolfsberger ACHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Grazer AKAway
LLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestDWDDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Wolfsberger AC have 8 scored home results and Grazer AK 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Wolfsberger AC at home: 1.00 points per match (8 measured matches); Grazer AK away: 0.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Wolfsberger AC scored 1.25 per home match (8 measured matches); Grazer AK scored 0.33 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.51 per club appearance across 148 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 14 pooled club appearances (35.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 7. Wolfsberger AC: 4 wins; Grazer AK: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 74 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Wolfsberger AC
2.32
Expected goals, Grazer AK
0.68
Most likely score
2-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
58%
Both clubs score
44%
Wolfsberger AC score at least once
90%
Grazer AK score at least once
49%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Wolfsberger AC win–
Draw–
Grazer AK win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Wolfsberger AC goals, columns are Grazer AK goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
213%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
53%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.85 goals) and away average (1.18 goals).

Sample. Wolfsberger AC 11 matches, Grazer AK 11, the league 74, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 22 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 74 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.584.2%15.8%
2.561.8%38.2%
3.528.9%71.1%
4.517.1%82.9%

First-half goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.574.5%25.5%
1.548.9%51.1%
2.523.4%76.6%
3.56.4%93.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

7 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Wolfsberger AC wins
2
Draws
1
Grazer AK wins
Goals / meeting
3.43
24 goals in 7 meetings
Both scored
57%
4 of 7 meetings
Over 1.5
71%
5 of 7 meetings
Over 2.5
57%
4 of 7 meetings
Over 3.5
57%
4 of 7 meetings
Wolfsberger AC clean sheets
29%
2 of 7 meetings
Grazer AK clean sheets
29%
2 of 7 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Grazer AK v Wolfsberger ACSat, 29 Aug 2026 · Austrian Bundesliga 2026-270–0HT 0–0
  2. Wolfsberger AC v Grazer AKSat, 25 Apr 2026 · Austrian Bundesliga 2025-261–0
  3. Grazer AK v Wolfsberger ACSat, 14 Mar 2026 · Austrian Bundesliga 2025-262–0
  4. Wolfsberger AC v Grazer AKSun, 8 Feb 2026 · Austrian Bundesliga 2025-262–2
  5. Grazer AK v Wolfsberger ACSat, 4 Oct 2025 · Austrian Bundesliga 2025-261–3
  6. Grazer AK v Wolfsberger ACSat, 30 Nov 2024 · Austrian Bundesliga 2024-253–4
  7. Wolfsberger AC v Grazer AKSun, 25 Aug 2024 · Austrian Bundesliga 2024-254–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Wolfsberger AC at homeDDLLLL
Grazer AK awayLLLLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 45%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 86%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 85%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 73%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 32%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 14%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 3.1
    Avg total goals
    League 3.03
    11 + 11 matches
  • 73%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    7 + 8 matches
  • 46%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 49%
    7 + 8 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
Wolfsberger ACGrazer AK
14Position11
LLLLLLast 5, oldest to newestDWDDD
11Played11
0.82Points per match0.91
18%Win %18%
1.09Scored / match0.73
1.82Conceded / match2.64
2.91Avg total goals3.36
55%Both scored36%
27%Clean sheets18%
27%Failed to score64%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Wolfsberger ACGrazer AK
  • 0.431st half scored / match0.50
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.25
  • 0.572nd half scored / match0.25
  • 0.862nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 29%Leading at half-time25%
  • 71%1st half over 0.575%
  • 43%1st half over 1.550%
  • 71%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 57%2nd half over 1.538%
  • 14%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

Wolfsberger ACGrazer AK
  • 1.09Scored / match0.73
  • 1.82Conceded / match2.64
  • 2.91Match total / match3.36
  • 73%Scored 1+36%
  • 18%Scored 2+36%
  • 73%Conceded 1+82%
  • 55%Conceded 2+55%
  • 91%Match over 1.573%
  • 73%Match over 2.573%
  • 27%Match over 3.536%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
9Tirol12-912
10Sturm Graz7-111
11Grazer AK11-2110
12A. Lustenau9-49
13Hartberg11-89
14Wolfsberger AC11-89
15Austria Vienna7-67
16FK Austria Wien8-87
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Austrian Bundesliga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.