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MatchDaySync

Wolves v QPR, EFL Championship, Sat, 24 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 45. Sat, 24 Apr 2027

WolvesHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
QPRAway
LDWWLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Wolves have 3 scored home results and QPR 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Wolves at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); QPR away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Wolves scored 2.33 per home match (3 measured matches); QPR scored 1.40 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.42 per club appearance across 212 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 8 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Wolves: 1 wins; QPR: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Wolves at home and QPR away.

Wolves at home

xG 2.19
  • Shots per match17.0
  • On target per match5.7
  • Goals per match2.3

QPR away

xG 1.29
  • Shots per match12.8
  • On target per match4.3
  • Goals per match1.4

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 106 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Wolves
1.30
Expected goals, QPR
1.05
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
42%
Both clubs score
47%
Wolves score at least once
73%
QPR score at least once
65%
Season sample
8 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Wolves win–
Draw–
QPR win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Wolves goals, columns are QPR goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%10%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%8%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.58 goals) and away average (1.26 goals).

Sample. Wolves 8 matches, QPR 9, the league 106, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.7%21.3%
2.562.0%38.0%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.510.2%89.8%

First-half goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.7%21.3%
1.539.8%60.2%
2.516.7%83.3%
3.58.3%91.7%

Corners · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.570.1%29.9%
9.558.8%41.2%
10.549.5%50.5%

Yellow + red card events · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.9%3.1%
1.592.8%7.2%
2.575.3%24.7%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.536.1%63.9%
5.518.6%81.4%
6.512.4%87.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Wolves wins
0
Draws
1
QPR wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
6 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Wolves clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
QPR clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
9.00
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
3.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Wolves v QPRSat, 10 Feb 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-182–1HT 2–0
  2. QPR v WolvesSat, 28 Oct 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-182–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Wolves at homeDDWDWW
QPR awayLWWDDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Wolves at home, QPR away
  • 73%
    Both teams scored
    League 67%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 73%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 53%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 43%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    3 + 5 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 53%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    3 + 5 matches
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 10.60
    3 + 4 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 46%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 29%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 49%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 3.6
    Cards per match
    League 3.92
    3 + 4 matches
  • 58%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 48%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 36%
    3 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Wolves at home, QPR away
Wolves (home)QPR (away)
6Position7
DWWLast 5, oldest to newestWWDDD
3Played5
2.33Points per match1.80
67%Win %40%
2.33Scored / match1.40
1.00Conceded / match0.80
3.33Avg total goals2.20
67%Both scored80%
33%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score20%
2.19xG for1.29
0.67xG against1.20

Half by half

WolvesQPR
  • 1.001st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.40
  • 1.332nd half scored / match0.40
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.40
  • 33%Leading at half-time40%
  • 67%1st half over 0.560%
  • 67%1st half over 1.540%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.540%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.520%
  • 67%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Wolves at home, QPR away, this season.

Goals

WolvesQPR
  • 2.33Scored / match1.40
  • 1.00Conceded / match0.80
  • 3.33Match total / match2.20
  • 100%Scored 1+80%
  • 67%Scored 2+40%
  • 67%Conceded 1+80%
  • 33%Conceded 2+0%
  • 67%Match over 1.580%
  • 67%Match over 2.540%
  • 67%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

WolvesQPR
  • 17.00Shots for12.75
  • 9.00Shots against12.50
  • 5.67On target for4.25
  • 3.33On target against3.25
  • 14%Shot conversion12%
  • 2.19xG for1.29
  • 0.67xG against1.20

Corners

WolvesQPR
  • 6.67Corners for5.25
  • 4.33Corners against4.75
  • 11.00Match total10.00
  • 100%Over 7.575%
  • 67%Over 8.550%
  • 67%Over 9.525%
  • 33%Over 10.525%
  • 33%Over 11.525%

Cards

WolvesQPR
  • 1.00Cards for2.25
  • 3.00Cards against1.00
  • 4.00Match total3.25
  • 100%Over 2.550%
  • 67%Over 3.550%
  • 33%Over 4.550%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 13.67Fouls committed10.75

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
4Stoke9216
5Southampton8914
6Wolves8414
7QPR9314
8Birmingham9214
9Millwall9114
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.