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Xiamen Feilu v Nantong Haimen Codion, Chinese League 2, Sat, 31 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 7. Sat, 31 Oct 2026

Xiamen FeiluHome
vKick-off 06:30 UTC
Nantong Haimen CodionAway
DLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDDWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Xiamen Feilu have 12 scored home results and Nantong Haimen Codion 12 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Xiamen Feilu at home: 1.67 points per match (12 measured matches); Nantong Haimen Codion away: 1.25 points per match (12 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Xiamen Feilu scored 1.25 per home match (12 measured matches); Nantong Haimen Codion scored 0.92 away (12). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.07 per club appearance across 568 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 8 of 24 pooled club appearances (33.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Xiamen Feilu: 0 wins; Nantong Haimen Codion: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 284 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Xiamen Feilu
1.37
Expected goals, Nantong Haimen Codion
1.38
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
52%
Both clubs score
56%
Xiamen Feilu score at least once
74%
Nantong Haimen Codion score at least once
75%
Season sample
24 and 24 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Xiamen Feilu win–
Draw–
Nantong Haimen Codion win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Xiamen Feilu goals, columns are Nantong Haimen Codion goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%12%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
26%8%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.19 goals) and away average (0.94 goals).

Sample. Xiamen Feilu 24 matches, Nantong Haimen Codion 24, the league 284, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 284 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.564.3%35.7%
2.537.8%62.2%
3.516.8%83.2%
4.56.6%93.4%

First-half goals · 284 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.1%39.9%
1.526.9%73.1%
2.55.6%94.4%
3.51.4%98.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Xiamen Feilu wins
0
Draws
1
Nantong Haimen Codion wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Xiamen Feilu clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Nantong Haimen Codion clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Nantong Haimen Codion v Xiamen FeiluWed, 7 Oct 2026 · Chinese League 2 20262–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Xiamen Feilu at homeDDLDLW
Nantong Haimen Codion awayLLWWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Xiamen Feilu at home, Nantong Haimen Codion away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 75%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 83%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 64%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 38%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 4%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 17%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 4%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 6%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 1.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.13
    12 + 12 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 60%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 13%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 27%
    12 + 12 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Xiamen Feilu at home, Nantong Haimen Codion away
Xiamen Feilu (home)Nantong Haimen Codion (away)
14Position12
DLDLWLast 5, oldest to newestLWWWD
12Played12
1.67Points per match1.25
42%Win %33%
1.25Scored / match0.92
0.67Conceded / match0.92
1.92Avg total goals1.83
25%Both scored42%
67%Clean sheets42%
42%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Xiamen FeiluNantong Haimen Codion
  • 0.671st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.171st half conceded / match0.33
  • 0.582nd half scored / match0.58
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.58
  • 42%Leading at half-time25%
  • 50%1st half over 0.550%
  • 17%1st half over 1.58%
  • 58%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 33%Scored in both halves8%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Xiamen Feilu at home, Nantong Haimen Codion away, this season.

Goals

Xiamen FeiluNantong Haimen Codion
  • 1.25Scored / match0.92
  • 0.67Conceded / match0.92
  • 1.92Match total / match1.83
  • 58%Scored 1+67%
  • 50%Scored 2+25%
  • 33%Conceded 1+58%
  • 25%Conceded 2+33%
  • 67%Match over 1.567%
  • 33%Match over 2.533%
  • 8%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Chinese League 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.