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Vtora Liga predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Bulgaria. Every Vtora Liga fixture still to kick off in the next two weeks, estimated from the season so far. A prototype model, labelled on every figure.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

2026-27
18 of 18
fixtures with an estimate
League matches
105
Home goals a match
1.53
Away goals a match
1.09

Bulgaria

Vtora Liga

From 105 league matches, 2026-27 · home 1.53, away 1.09 goals a match

Filter by league baseline probability

Find upcoming fixtures by goal, corner or card probability. Only fixtures with measured baseline values appear when a condition is selected.

18 matching upcoming fixtures · showing 18

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13

PFC CSKA II Sofia v FK Yantra Gabrovo

Expected goals 1.57 to 0.51 · most likely 1-0 (20%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13

OFC Vihren Sandanski v FC Marek 1915 Dupnitsa

Expected goals 2.17 to 0.74 · most likely 2-0 (13%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13

FC Chernomorets 1919 Burgas v FK Sportist Svoge

Expected goals 1.70 to 0.28 · most likely 1-0 (23%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.08 to 0.87 · most likely 1-0 (15%) · from 11 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13

OFK Spartak Pleven v FK Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Expected goals 1.52 to 2.06 · most likely 1-2 (9%) · from 12 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13

FK Hebar Pazardzhik v OFC Nesebar Nesebar

Expected goals 2.85 to 1.76 · most likely 2-1 (7%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.90 to 0.22 · most likely 1-0 (23%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 13

FC Fratria Varna v PFK Montana 1921

Expected goals 2.65 to 0.62 · most likely 2-0 (13%) · from 12 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 13

Ludogorets II v FK Dobrudzha Dobrich

Expected goals 1.41 to 0.63 · most likely 1-0 (18%) · from 10 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

PFK Montana 1921 v OFK Spartak Pleven

Expected goals 2.03 to 1.32 · most likely 2-1 (10%) · from 11 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

FK Dobrudzha Dobrich v FC Fratria Varna

Expected goals 0.75 to 1.57 · most likely 0-1 (16%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 0.79 to 0.77 · most likely 0-0 (21%) · from 12 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

FK Yantra Gabrovo v FK Hebar Pazardzhik

Expected goals 1.61 to 1.31 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

Pirin 22 Blagoevgrad v FK Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Expected goals 0.63 to 3.05 · most likely 0-3 (12%) · from 12 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

FK Sportist Svoge v Ludogorets II

Expected goals 0.60 to 0.62 · most likely 0-0 (30%) · from 12 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

FC Marek 1915 Dupnitsa v PFC CSKA II Sofia

Expected goals 0.78 to 1.42 · most likely 0-1 (16%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.04 to 1.10 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 14

OFC Nesebar Nesebar v FC Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Expected goals 0.99 to 1.57 · most likely 0-1 (12%) · from 12 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.545.8%54.2%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.517.8%82.2%

First-half goals · 105 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.560.7%39.3%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Vtora Liga on MatchDaySync

The table, the fixture list and every finished match for this competition.

Today's estimates

The other competitions with a fixture on the slate.

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.

How to read these figures.

Statistics only, not advice. The full method, and what it leaves out, is on how the model works.

  • A prototype, labelled as one

    A historical reconstruction is published, but there is no record of estimates frozen and published before kickoff. Every figure retains its prototype label.

  • Read before kick-off

    Only season results stored before a fixture starts go in. Once a match kicks off it gets no figure, and nothing is revised after the result.

  • A sample, not a certainty

    No figure until each club has 5 league matches and the league 40. Small samples still swing hard: one odd result moves them.

Home winDrawAway win