Fri 23 Oct · · Round 13
PFC CSKA II Sofia v FK Yantra Gabrovo
Expected goals 1.57 to 0.51 · most likely 1-0 (20%) · from 12 and 12 matches
Goal, corner and card probabilities
Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.
Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.
Full-time goals · 105 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 2.5 | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| 3.5 | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| 4.5 | 17.8% | 82.2% |
First-half goals · 105 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| 1.5 | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| 2.5 | 10.3% | 89.7% |
| 3.5 | 3.7% | 96.3% |
Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.