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Today's research.A fixed starting point.

The first eligible stored fixture, and the first two as a separate research set. Chosen by kickoff order, with a saved issuance cutoff and the sample beside each estimate.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

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Prototype model, not yet validated
UTC fixture date
2026-10-23
Issued after source reads

153 eligible from 206 observed forecast inputs. 53 excluded. This is a research order, with no promised outcome.

One-fixture selection

Ukrainian Premier League · 2026-27 ·

Dynamo Kyiv v Kudrivka

Sample: 6 home-club matches, 7 away-club matches, 54 league matches. Expected goals: 3.77 and 0.43.

Two-fixture selection

The first two distinct fixtures, including the one-fixture selection. Separate estimates; no combined probability.

Ukrainian Premier League · 2026-27 ·

Dynamo Kyiv v Kudrivka

Sample: 6 home-club matches, 7 away-club matches, 54 league matches. Expected goals: 3.77 and 0.43.

Tanzanian Premier League · 2026-27 ·

Simba SC v Mbeya City FC

Sample: 7 home-club matches, 7 away-club matches, 57 league matches. Expected goals: 1.76 and 0.28.

How these fixtures are selected

Earliest future UTC kickoff, then match ID, among stored scheduled fixtures with a valid poisson-proto-1 estimate, at least 5 matches per club and 40 league matches. No ranking by a predicted outcome. The model needs at least 5 matches for each club and 40 for the league. Missing, nonfinite or inconsistent samples are excluded. Fixtures with an unknown kickoff, a started status or a different UTC date are excluded.

Inputs were observed from 2026-10-23 08:32:46.068 UTC until issuance. These are mutable stored season aggregates observed in that window, not a transactionally frozen provider feed. The receipt freezes what this selector saw. Corrections after issuance require a new snapshot.

The snapshot binds observed forecast outputs, league totals and samples used by this selector. It is not provider provenance, a raw team-season archive, a historical performance record or a guarantee. Lineups, injuries, odds and calibration are unavailable here. Save the receipt to retain this issuance; there is no server archive.

Method: daily-earliest-sample-backed-1. Model: poisson-proto-1. Read the prototype method.

Verify or replay this issuance

Save the JSON receipt. Its snapshot includes every normalized input read by the selector, excluded identities and reasons, eligible order and both selections. SHA256 is computed over the stable key-sorted JSON snapshot. Replay uses the saved issuance time, never today's clock. The checksum identifies this application receipt; it is not a provider authenticity signature.

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Terms explained

What the figures and labels on this page mean.

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.