Fri 23 Oct · · Round 34
SK Super Nova v RFS
Expected goals 0.57 to 1.96 · most likely 0-1 (16%) · from 31 and 30 matches
Goal, corner and card probabilities
Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.
Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.
Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| 2.5 | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| 3.5 | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| 4.5 | 17.8% | 82.2% |
First-half goals · 155 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| 1.5 | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| 2.5 | 16.6% | 83.4% |
| 3.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% |
Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.