Ligue 2 Predictions: Next Fixtures, Estimated

Fri 23 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

Dunkerque v Metz

Expected goals 1.04 to 1.73 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 8 and 7 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

Clermont v Guingamp

Expected goals 1.01 to 1.05 · most likely 1-1 (14%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

Nancy v Laval

Expected goals 1.99 to 0.81 · most likely 1-0 (12%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

Sochaux v Annecy

Expected goals 0.59 to 0.70 · most likely 0-0 (28%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

Pau FC v Grenoble

Expected goals 1.52 to 0.75 · most likely 1-0 (16%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · 12:00UTC · Round 10

Montpellier v Red Star

Expected goals 0.94 to 0.70 · most likely 0-0 (19%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · 12:00UTC · Round 10

Dijon v Rodez

Expected goals 2.68 to 1.86 · most likely 2-1 (7%) · from 7 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · 18:00UTC · Round 10

St Etienne v Nantes

Expected goals 3.55 to 0.84 · most likely 3-0 (10%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Mon 26 Oct · 19:45UTC · Round 10

Boulogne v Reims

Expected goals 0.47 to 1.05 · most likely 0-1 (23%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 16:45UTC · Round 11

Red Star v Nancy

Expected goals 1.09 to 0.94 · most likely 1-0 (14%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Nantes v Clermont

Expected goals 1.05 to 0.91 · most likely 1-0 (15%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Metz v Pau FC

Expected goals 1.19 to 0.84 · most likely 1-0 (16%) · from 7 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Rodez v Dunkerque

Expected goals 2.37 to 2.10 · most likely 2-2 (7%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Grenoble v Dijon

Expected goals 1.19 to 1.73 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 8 and 7 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Laval v Boulogne

Expected goals 0.78 to 0.79 · most likely 0-0 (21%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · 13:00UTC · Round 11

Reims v Sochaux

Expected goals 1.17 to 0.52 · most likely 1-0 (22%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · 13:00UTC · Round 11

Annecy v Montpellier

Expected goals 0.65 to 0.84 · most likely 0-0 (23%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · 19:00UTC · Round 11

Guingamp v St Etienne

Expected goals 1.04 to 3.18 · most likely 1-3 (8%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · 19:00UTC · Round 12

Grenoble v Reims

Expected goals 0.94 to 2.27 · most likely 0-2 (10%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · 19:00UTC · Round 12

Dijon v Red Star

Expected goals 1.34 to 1.60 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 7 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · 19:00UTC · Round 12

Dunkerque v Guingamp

Expected goals 1.69 to 1.51 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · 19:00UTC · Round 12

Nancy v Sochaux

Expected goals 0.70 to 0.41 · most likely 0-0 (33%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · 19:00UTC · Round 12

Boulogne v Annecy

Expected goals 0.47 to 0.70 · most likely 0-0 (31%) · from 8 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	67.1%	32.9%
2.5	43.8%	56.2%
3.5	28.8%	71.2%
4.5	16.4%	83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	58.9%	41.1%
1.5	31.5%	68.5%
2.5	13.7%	86.3%
3.5	2.7%	97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	58.5%	41.5%
9.5	36.9%	63.1%
10.5	30.8%	69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.9%	3.1%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	73.8%	26.2%
3.5	53.8%	46.2%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	24.6%	75.4%
6.5	7.7%	92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Ligue 2 predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Ligue 2

Dunkerque v Metz

Clermont v Guingamp

Nancy v Laval

Sochaux v Annecy

Pau FC v Grenoble

Montpellier v Red Star

Dijon v Rodez

St Etienne v Nantes

Boulogne v Reims

Red Star v Nancy

Nantes v Clermont

Metz v Pau FC

Rodez v Dunkerque

Grenoble v Dijon

Laval v Boulogne

Reims v Sochaux

Annecy v Montpellier

Guingamp v St Etienne

Grenoble v Reims

Dijon v Red Star

Dunkerque v Guingamp

Nancy v Sochaux

Boulogne v Annecy

Ligue 2 on MatchDaySync

Today's estimates

League tables

The statistics behind the estimates

Matches by day

Streaks, referees and rankings

Clubs and competitions

How to read these figures.

A prototype, labelled as one

Read before kick-off

A sample, not a certainty