Fri 23 Oct ·
Sport Huancayo Reserve v Comerciantes FC
Expected goals 1.44 to 0.62 · most likely 1-0 (18%) · from 18 and 18 matches
Goal, corner and card probabilities
Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.
Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.
Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| 2.5 | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| 3.5 | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| 4.5 | 11.3% | 88.7% |
First-half goals · 147 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| 1.5 | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| 2.5 | 12.8% | 87.2% |
| 3.5 | 4.0% | 96.0% |
Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.