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Liga 2 predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Peru. Every Liga 2 fixture still to kick off in the next two weeks, estimated from the season so far. A prototype model, labelled on every figure.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

2026
14 of 14
fixtures with an estimate
League matches
157
Home goals a match
1.56
Away goals a match
0.92

Peru

Liga 2

From 157 league matches, 2026 · home 1.56, away 0.92 goals a match

Filter by league baseline probability

Find upcoming fixtures by goal, corner or card probability. Only fixtures with measured baseline values appear when a condition is selected.

14 matching upcoming fixtures · showing 14

Expected goals 1.44 to 0.62 · most likely 1-0 (18%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.07 to 0.29 · most likely 1-0 (27%) · from 18 and 17 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 2.08 to 0.52 · most likely 2-0 (16%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.65 to 0.58 · most likely 1-0 (18%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.05 to 1.34 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 5

Deportivo Binacional v Santos FC de Nazca

Expected goals 0.92 to 2.32 · most likely 0-2 (11%) · from 17 and 17 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Mon 26 Oct · · Round 5

Pirata FC v Unión Comercio

Expected goals 0.76 to 0.89 · most likely 0-0 (19%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 0.75 to 1.00 · most likely 0-0 (17%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 0.69 to 0.54 · most likely 0-0 (29%) · from 17 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct ·

Ayacucho FC v Pirata FC

Expected goals 1.37 to 1.15 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 0.96 to 0.48 · most likely 0-0 (24%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.64 to 1.14 · most likely 1-1 (12%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 1.36 to 0.53 · most likely 1-0 (21%) · from 18 and 18 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Expected goals 3.54 to 0.82 · most likely 3-0 (10%) · from 18 and 17 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.9%32.1%
2.545.9%54.1%
3.523.3%76.7%
4.511.3%88.7%

First-half goals · 147 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.1%36.9%
1.528.9%71.1%
2.512.8%87.2%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Liga 2 on MatchDaySync

The table, the fixture list and every finished match for this competition.

Today's estimates

The other competitions with a fixture on the slate.

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.

How to read these figures.

Statistics only, not advice. The full method, and what it leaves out, is on how the model works.

  • A prototype, labelled as one

    A historical reconstruction is published, but there is no record of estimates frozen and published before kickoff. Every figure retains its prototype label.

  • Read before kick-off

    Only season results stored before a fixture starts go in. Once a match kicks off it gets no figure, and nothing is revised after the result.

  • A sample, not a certainty

    No figure until each club has 5 league matches and the league 40. Small samples still swing hard: one odd result moves them.

Home winDrawAway win