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MatchDaySync

First League predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Russia. Every First League fixture still to kick off in the next two weeks, estimated from the season so far. A prototype model, labelled on every figure.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

First League table and resultsAll competitions today
2026-27
21 of 21
fixtures with an estimate
League matches
117
Home goals a match
1.51
Away goals a match
1.22

Russia

First League

From 117 league matches, 2026-27 · home 1.51, away 1.22 goals a match

Filter by league baseline probability

Find upcoming fixtures by goal, corner or card probability. Only fixtures with measured baseline values appear when a condition is selected.

21 matching upcoming fixtures · showing 21

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 15

Torpedo Moscow v Rotor Volgograd

Expected goals 1.84 to 0.85 · most likely 1-0 (12%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 15

SKA Khabarovsk v Enisey Krasnoyarsk

Expected goals 1.68 to 1.51 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 15

Arsenal Tula v KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny

Expected goals 1.58 to 1.30 · most likely 1-1 (12%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Sochi v Ural

Expected goals 0.87 to 1.23 · most likely 0-1 (15%) · from 12 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny v Torpedo Moscow

Expected goals 0.67 to 2.04 · most likely 0-2 (14%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Rotor Volgograd v Ufa

Expected goals 1.48 to 1.07 · most likely 1-1 (12%) · from 13 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Chelyabinsk v Shinnik Yaroslavl

Expected goals 1.06 to 1.38 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk v SKA Khabarovsk

Expected goals 1.12 to 1.03 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Leningradets v Enisey Krasnoyarsk

Expected goals 1.32 to 1.33 · most likely 1-1 (12%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Volga Ulyanovsk v Tekstilshchik Ivanovo

Expected goals 1.68 to 0.60 · most likely 1-0 (17%) · from 14 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

Veles Moscow v Spartak Kostroma

Expected goals 1.10 to 1.10 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 14 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 16

FC Nizhny Novgorod v Arsenal Tula

Expected goals 4.71 to 0.81 · most likely 4-0 (9%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Enisey Krasnoyarsk v Sochi

Expected goals 1.09 to 2.20 · most likely 1-2 (10%) · from 13 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Spartak Kostroma v FC Nizhny Novgorod

Expected goals 1.21 to 2.06 · most likely 1-2 (10%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Ural v Volga Ulyanovsk

Expected goals 1.96 to 0.52 · most likely 1-0 (16%) · from 13 and 14 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Arsenal Tula v Chelyabinsk

Expected goals 1.51 to 1.58 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Torpedo Moscow v Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Expected goals 2.18 to 0.35 · most likely 2-0 (19%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Shinnik Yaroslavl v Ufa

Expected goals 1.15 to 0.87 · most likely 1-0 (15%) · from 13 and 12 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Veles Moscow v KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny

Expected goals 1.86 to 0.85 · most likely 1-0 (12%) · from 14 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

Rotor Volgograd v Leningradets

Expected goals 2.42 to 0.68 · most likely 2-0 (13%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 17

SKA Khabarovsk v Tekstilshchik Ivanovo

Expected goals 1.41 to 0.80 · most likely 1-0 (15%) · from 13 and 13 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.8%25.2%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.532.8%67.2%
4.513.4%86.6%

First-half goals · 117 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.4%33.6%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

First League on MatchDaySync

The table, the fixture list and every finished match for this competition.

Season overviewTableFixturesResults

Today's estimates

The other competitions with a fixture on the slate.

All competitions todayDaily research setMatches by day

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

Find a tableAll competitionsForm guide

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

MethodModel checkGoal and card thresholdsForm guideTrends

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Fixtures and resultsMatches by daySeason calendarWhere to watch

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

StatisticsStreaksRefereesRankings

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.

ClubsCompetitionsCompare two clubsRankings

How to read these figures.

Statistics only, not advice. The full method, and what it leaves out, is on how the model works.

  • A prototype, labelled as one

    A historical reconstruction is published, but there is no record of estimates frozen and published before kickoff. Every figure retains its prototype label.

  • Read before kick-off

    Only season results stored before a fixture starts go in. Once a match kicks off it gets no figure, and nothing is revised after the result.

  • A sample, not a certainty

    No figure until each club has 5 league matches and the league 40. Small samples still swing hard: one odd result moves them.

Home winDrawAway win