Sat 24 Oct · · Round 28
Varnamo v Sandvikens IF
Expected goals 1.42 to 1.82 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 24 and 25 matches
Goal, corner and card probabilities
Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.
Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.
Full-time goals · 201 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| 2.5 | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| 3.5 | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| 4.5 | 19.2% | 80.8% |
First-half goals · 201 measured pairs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| 1.5 | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| 2.5 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
| 3.5 | 3.0% | 97.0% |
Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records
Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.