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Cymru South predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Wales. Every Cymru South fixture still to kick off in the next two weeks, estimated from the season so far. A prototype model, labelled on every figure.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Cymru South table and resultsAll competitions today
2026-27
22 of 22
fixtures with an estimate
League matches
77
Home goals a match
1.86
Away goals a match
1.66

Wales

Cymru South

From 77 league matches, 2026-27 · home 1.86, away 1.66 goals a match

Filter by league baseline probability

Find upcoming fixtures by goal, corner or card probability. Only fixtures with measured baseline values appear when a condition is selected.

22 matching upcoming fixtures · showing 22

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 12

Llanelli Town AFC v Afan Lido

Expected goals 0.98 to 2.64 · most likely 0-2 (9%) · from 11 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 12

Newport City FC v Pontypridd United

Expected goals 1.53 to 1.45 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 8 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 12

Carmarthen Town v Caerphilly Athletic FC

Expected goals 2.51 to 1.35 · most likely 2-1 (9%) · from 10 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 12

Caerau Ely FC v Llantwit Major

Expected goals 3.08 to 0.86 · most likely 3-0 (10%) · from 10 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 12

Trethomas Bluebirds v Cardiff Draconians FC

Expected goals 2.10 to 1.33 · most likely 2-1 (10%) · from 10 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 12

Baglan Dragons FC v Aberystwyth Town

Expected goals 0.65 to 1.43 · most likely 0-1 (18%) · from 11 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 12

Pure Swansea FC v Treowen Stars

Expected goals 4.20 to 1.25 · most likely 4-1 (7%) · from 9 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 24 Oct · · Round 12

Pontardawe Town v Ynyshir Albions

Expected goals 1.00 to 1.69 · most likely 0-1 (11%) · from 9 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 28 Oct · · Round 7

Pure Swansea FC v Carmarthen Town

Expected goals 4.20 to 1.44 · most likely 4-1 (7%) · from 9 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 13

Pontypridd United v Llanelli Town AFC

Expected goals 4.32 to 0.75 · most likely 4-0 (10%) · from 10 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 13

Treowen Stars v Baglan Dragons FC

Expected goals 1.24 to 1.23 · most likely 1-1 (13%) · from 10 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 13

Caerphilly Athletic FC v Caerau Ely FC

Expected goals 1.30 to 2.24 · most likely 1-2 (9%) · from 10 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 13

Cardiff Draconians FC v Afan Lido

Expected goals 1.65 to 1.54 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 8 and 11 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 13

Llantwit Major v Newport City FC

Expected goals 0.60 to 1.88 · most likely 0-1 (16%) · from 9 and 8 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 13

Pontardawe Town v Carmarthen Town

Expected goals 2.10 to 2.23 · most likely 2-2 (7%) · from 9 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 13

Ynyshir Albions v Pure Swansea FC

Expected goals 1.22 to 1.79 · most likely 1-1 (11%) · from 9 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 13

Aberystwyth Town v Trethomas Bluebirds

Expected goals 2.64 to 1.07 · most likely 2-1 (9%) · from 9 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 14

Llanelli Town AFC v Pontardawe Town

Expected goals 0.93 to 2.68 · most likely 0-2 (10%) · from 11 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 14

Newport City FC v Treowen Stars

Expected goals 1.89 to 1.15 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 8 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 14

Afan Lido v Caerphilly Athletic FC

Expected goals 1.86 to 1.29 · most likely 1-1 (10%) · from 11 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 14

Baglan Dragons FC v Ynyshir Albions

Expected goals 0.65 to 0.98 · most likely 0-0 (20%) · from 11 and 9 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 6 Nov · · Round 14

Caerau Ely FC v Pontypridd United

Expected goals 2.24 to 2.32 · most likely 2-2 (7%) · from 10 and 10 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.0%19.0%
2.568.4%31.6%
3.546.8%53.2%
4.530.4%69.6%

First-half goals · 77 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.9%24.1%
1.549.4%50.6%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.511.4%88.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Cymru South on MatchDaySync

The table, the fixture list and every finished match for this competition.

Season overviewTableFixturesResults

Today's estimates

The other competitions with a fixture on the slate.

All competitions todayDaily research setMatches by day

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

Find a tableAll competitionsForm guide

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

MethodModel checkGoal and card thresholdsForm guideTrends

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Fixtures and resultsMatches by daySeason calendarWhere to watch

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

StatisticsStreaksRefereesRankings

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.

ClubsCompetitionsCompare two clubsRankings

How to read these figures.

Statistics only, not advice. The full method, and what it leaves out, is on how the model works.

  • A prototype, labelled as one

    A historical reconstruction is published, but there is no record of estimates frozen and published before kickoff. Every figure retains its prototype label.

  • Read before kick-off

    Only season results stored before a fixture starts go in. Once a match kicks off it gets no figure, and nothing is revised after the result.

  • A sample, not a certainty

    No figure until each club has 5 league matches and the league 40. Small samples still swing hard: one odd result moves them.

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