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Total FoulsPortugal vs Uzbekistan

The projection

Total Fouls: in depth

Projected total

23fouls

Threshold: Over 18.5

Probability

73%

High confidence

Adjustment: mismatch +1.0

Intelligence brief

Historical reliability

How often this statistic resolved over its standard threshold in past World Cups: descriptive statistics, not a recommendation.

2018 + 2022 combined

89%

Resolved over the o18.5 threshold in 89% of 2018 + 2022 World Cup matches.

201894%

202284%

10pt gap

between tournaments

Sample size

128 matches

2018 + 2022

Threshold

o18.5

Reliability rank

Very stable. Combative matchups push higher.

Per-team breakdown

How total fouls splits between sides

Portugal

9.3fouls

48% probability

Threshold rate: 2.08%

Uzbekistan

13.7fouls

82% probability

Threshold rate: 1.22%

About this page

Portugal vs Uzbekistan: total fouls

This page sets the stored total fouls projection for the fixture beside how that statistic resolved across the 2018 and 2022 World Cups. It is a historical archive of figures stored before kickoff.

Glossary

Terms on this page

Threshold: The statistical line the match total is measured against.
Probability: The stored estimate that the total reaches the threshold.
Confidence: The rating stored alongside each projection.

Across the tournament

Other matches with notable total fouls lines

Moroccovs

Haiti

2026-06-24T22:00:00.000Z

2026-06-28T02:00:00.000Z

2026-06-21T04:00:00.000Z

2026-06-23T03:00:00.000Z

2026-06-17T01:00:00.000Z

2026-06-12T02:00:00.000Z

30.6

96%

Reader sentiment

Which side do you think trends higher on total fouls?

Statistics-framed reader poll. Tap a side to see the running split.

Same fixture

Other statistics for this match

Context