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Aberdeen v Hibernian, Scottish Premiership, Sat, 7 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 13. Sat, 7 Nov 2026

AberdeenHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
HibernianAway
LLDWDLeague form, oldest to newestLLLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Aberdeen have 3 scored home results and Hibernian 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Aberdeen at home: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Hibernian away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Aberdeen scored 0.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Hibernian scored 1.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.30 per club appearance across 92 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 7 pooled club appearances (57.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Aberdeen: 3 wins; Hibernian: 4 wins; draws: 3.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Aberdeen at home and Hibernian away.

Aberdeen at home

xG 1.32
  • Shots per match10.3
  • On target per match2.3
  • Goals per match0.7

Hibernian away

xG 1.96
  • Shots per match15.7
  • On target per match4.0
  • Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 46 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Aberdeen
1.15
Expected goals, Hibernian
0.88
Most likely score
1-0 (15%)
Three or more goals
33%
Both clubs score
40%
Aberdeen score at least once
68%
Hibernian score at least once
58%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Aberdeen win–
Draw–
Hibernian win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Aberdeen goals, columns are Hibernian goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
013%12%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
115%13%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.30 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Aberdeen 7 matches, Hibernian 8, the league 46, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 46 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.9%27.1%
2.554.2%45.8%
3.520.8%79.2%
4.510.4%89.6%

First-half goals · 46 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.579.2%20.8%
1.535.4%64.6%
2.518.8%81.3%
3.54.2%95.8%

Corners · 42 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.579.5%20.5%
9.568.2%31.8%
10.563.6%36.4%

Yellow + red card events · 42 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.2%6.8%
1.588.6%11.4%
2.570.5%29.5%
3.561.4%38.6%
4.529.5%70.5%
5.518.2%81.8%
6.511.4%88.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Aberdeen wins
3
Draws
4
Hibernian wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Aberdeen clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Hibernian clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.70
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.40
10 with card data
  1. Hibernian v AberdeenSat, 19 Sept 2026 · Scottish Premiership 2026-271–1HT 0–1
  2. Aberdeen v HibernianSat, 11 Apr 2026 · Scottish Premiership 2025-262–0HT 1–0
  3. Hibernian v AberdeenTue, 30 Dec 2025 · Scottish Premiership 2025-262–0HT 0–0
  4. Aberdeen v HibernianSun, 26 Oct 2025 · Scottish Premiership 2025-261–2HT 0–1
  5. Aberdeen v HibernianSat, 26 Apr 2025 · Scottish Premiership 2024-251–0HT 0–0
  6. Hibernian v AberdeenSat, 1 Feb 2025 · Scottish Premiership 2024-252–0HT 1–0
  7. Aberdeen v HibernianSat, 21 Dec 2024 · Scottish Premiership 2024-251–3HT 1–2
  8. Hibernian v AberdeenTue, 26 Nov 2024 · Scottish Premiership 2024-253–3HT 1–0
  9. Hibernian v AberdeenSun, 12 May 2024 · Scottish Premiership 2023-240–4HT 0–2
  10. Aberdeen v HibernianSat, 17 Feb 2024 · Scottish Premiership 2023-242–2HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Aberdeen at homeWWWWLD
Hibernian awayDDWLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Aberdeen at home, Hibernian away
  • 54%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 54%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 54%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 20%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 1.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.61
    3 + 4 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 80%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 35%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 11.79
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 81%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 69%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 64%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 4.8
    Cards per match
    League 3.83
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 62%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 29%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Aberdeen at home, Hibernian away
Aberdeen (home)Hibernian (away)
8Position10
WLDLast 5, oldest to newestWWLL
3Played4
1.33Points per match1.50
33%Win %50%
0.67Scored / match1.25
0.67Conceded / match1.25
1.33Avg total goals2.50
33%Both scored75%
33%Clean sheets0%
67%Failed to score25%
1.32xG for1.96
1.53xG against1.77

Half by half

AberdeenHibernian
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.75
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 0%Leading at half-time50%
  • 33%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.525%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Aberdeen at home, Hibernian away, this season.

Goals

AberdeenHibernian
  • 0.67Scored / match1.25
  • 0.67Conceded / match1.25
  • 1.33Match total / match2.50
  • 33%Scored 1+75%
  • 33%Scored 2+50%
  • 67%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+25%
  • 33%Match over 1.575%
  • 33%Match over 2.575%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

AberdeenHibernian
  • 10.33Shots for15.67
  • 16.67Shots against15.00
  • 2.33On target for4.00
  • 4.33On target against5.33
  • 7%Shot conversion11%
  • 1.32xG for1.96
  • 1.53xG against1.77

Corners

AberdeenHibernian
  • 5.33Corners for5.33
  • 6.33Corners against4.00
  • 11.67Match total9.33
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 100%Over 8.567%
  • 100%Over 9.533%
  • 67%Over 10.533%
  • 67%Over 11.50%

Cards

AberdeenHibernian
  • 4.67Cards for0.67
  • 3.33Cards against1.00
  • 8.00Match total1.67
  • 100%Over 2.50%
  • 100%Over 3.50%
  • 100%Over 4.50%
  • 100%Over 5.50%
  • 15.00Fouls committed13.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6St Mirren8-610
7St Johnstone7-18
8Aberdeen7-18
9Motherwell7-28
10Hibernian8-47
11Falkirk8-46
12Kilmarnock8-115
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish Premiership matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.