Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Airdrie Utd v Peterhead, Scottish League One, Sat, 5 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 5 Dec 2026

Airdrie UtdHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
PeterheadAway
LWWWDLeague form, oldest to newestLLLLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Airdrie Utd have 5 scored home results and Peterhead 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Airdrie Utd at home: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches); Peterhead away: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Airdrie Utd scored 0.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Peterhead scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 98 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 10 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Airdrie Utd: 7 wins; Peterhead: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Airdrie Utd at home and Peterhead away.

Airdrie Utd at home

  • Shots per match8.2
  • On target per match4.2
  • Goals per match0.8

Peterhead away

  • Shots per match8.0
  • On target per match3.2
  • Goals per match0.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 49 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Airdrie Utd
1.26
Expected goals, Peterhead
0.55
Most likely score
1-0 (21%)
Three or more goals
27%
Both clubs score
30%
Airdrie Utd score at least once
72%
Peterhead score at least once
42%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Airdrie Utd win–
Draw–
Peterhead win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Airdrie Utd goals, columns are Peterhead goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
016%9%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
121%11%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
213%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.61 goals) and away average (1.18 goals).

Sample. Airdrie Utd 10 matches, Peterhead 10, the league 49, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 49 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.5%25.5%
2.558.8%41.2%
3.527.5%72.5%
4.515.7%84.3%

First-half goals · 49 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.527.5%72.5%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.55.9%94.1%

Corners · 44 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.565.2%34.8%
9.543.5%56.5%
10.532.6%67.4%

Yellow + red card events · 44 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.5%6.5%
1.589.1%10.9%
2.580.4%19.6%
3.576.1%23.9%
4.558.7%41.3%
5.534.8%65.2%
6.521.7%78.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

7
Airdrie Utd wins
2
Draws
1
Peterhead wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Airdrie Utd clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Peterhead clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.70
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.80
10 with card data
  1. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 19 Sept 2026 · Scottish League One 2026-271–2HT 0–1
  2. Airdrie Utd v PeterheadSat, 18 Mar 2023 · Scottish League One 2022-237–0HT 4–0
  3. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 7 Jan 2023 · Scottish League One 2022-230–3HT 0–0
  4. Airdrie Utd v PeterheadSat, 12 Nov 2022 · Scottish League One 2022-231–1HT 0–1
  5. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 30 Jul 2022 · Scottish League One 2022-230–2HT 0–2
  6. Airdrie Utd v PeterheadSat, 30 Apr 2022 · Scottish League One 2021-221–1HT 0–1
  7. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 19 Feb 2022 · Scottish League One 2021-220–1HT 0–1
  8. Airdrie Utd v PeterheadSat, 6 Nov 2021 · Scottish League One 2021-223–1HT 1–0
  9. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 21 Aug 2021 · Scottish League One 2021-222–3HT 0–1
  10. Peterhead v Airdrie UtdSat, 20 Mar 2021 · Scottish League One 2020-211–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Airdrie Utd at homeLDWWWW
Peterhead awayWLDLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Airdrie Utd at home, Peterhead away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 45%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 92%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 59%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 27%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.1
    Avg total goals
    League 2.80
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 27%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 8.3
    Corners per match
    League 9.09
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 66%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 40%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 43%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 32%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 4.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.68
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 77%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 59%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Airdrie Utd at home, Peterhead away
Airdrie Utd (home)Peterhead (away)
5Position9
DLDWWLast 5, oldest to newestWLDLL
5Played5
1.60Points per match0.80
40%Win %20%
0.80Scored / match0.80
0.80Conceded / match1.80
1.60Avg total goals2.60
40%Both scored60%
60%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Airdrie UtdPeterhead
  • 0.201st half scored / match0.20
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.40
  • 0.602nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.402nd half conceded / match1.40
  • 20%Leading at half-time20%
  • 40%1st half over 0.560%
  • 20%1st half over 1.50%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 40%2nd half over 1.560%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Airdrie Utd at home, Peterhead away, this season.

Goals

Airdrie UtdPeterhead
  • 0.80Scored / match0.80
  • 0.80Conceded / match1.80
  • 1.60Match total / match2.60
  • 80%Scored 1+80%
  • 0%Scored 2+0%
  • 40%Conceded 1+80%
  • 20%Conceded 2+60%
  • 40%Match over 1.580%
  • 20%Match over 2.560%
  • 20%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

Airdrie UtdPeterhead
  • 8.20Shots for8.00
  • 8.00Shots against10.40
  • 4.20On target for3.20
  • 2.60On target against3.80
  • 10%Shot conversion10%

Corners

Airdrie UtdPeterhead
  • 3.40Corners for2.80
  • 5.20Corners against5.20
  • 8.60Match total8.00
  • 80%Over 7.540%
  • 60%Over 8.540%
  • 60%Over 9.520%
  • 40%Over 10.520%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

Airdrie UtdPeterhead
  • 3.40Cards for1.60
  • 3.00Cards against1.80
  • 6.40Match total3.40
  • 100%Over 2.560%
  • 100%Over 3.560%
  • 60%Over 4.540%
  • 60%Over 5.50%
  • 16.60Fouls committed12.80

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3East Kilbride10517
4Montrose10-615
5Airdrie Utd10-413
6Queen of Sth10-1610
7East Fife10-39
8Alloa10-49
9Peterhead10-107
10Cove Rangers10-76
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.