Arbroath vs Ayr stats and head-to-head

2022-23. Fri, 31 Mar 2023

20Full time, half-time 1–0

Arbroath won by 2 goals.

LDLLDLeague form, oldest to newestDDDWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Arbroath have 14 scored home results and Ayr 15 scored away results stored in 2022-23. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Arbroath at home: 0.64 points per match (14 measured matches); Ayr away: 1.73 points per match (15 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Arbroath scored 0.64 per home match (14 measured matches); Ayr scored 2.00 away (15). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.42 per club appearance across 292 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 18 of 29 pooled club appearances (62.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Arbroath: 4 wins; Ayr: 2 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10

Second half10

The match in numbers

ArbroathAyr

8Shots13
3Shots on target2
7Corners8
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Arbroath

Shots8
On target3
Goals2

38% of shots on target, 67% of those scored.

Ayr

Shots13
On target2
Goals0

15% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Arbroath wins

Draws

Ayr wins

Goals / meeting

2.20

22 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

60%

6 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Arbroath clean sheets

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Ayr clean sheets

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

11.00

10 with corner data

Cards / meeting

3.20

10 with card data

Ayr v ArbroathSat, 14 Jan 2023 · Scottish Championship 2022-232–2HT 1–0
Arbroath v AyrSat, 29 Oct 2022 · Scottish Championship 2022-230–2HT 0–0
Ayr v ArbroathSat, 30 Jul 2022 · Scottish Championship 2022-230–0HT 0–0
Arbroath v AyrSat, 19 Mar 2022 · Scottish Championship 2021-221–0HT 0–0
Ayr v ArbroathSat, 8 Jan 2022 · Scottish Championship 2021-221–0HT 1–0
Arbroath v AyrSat, 23 Oct 2021 · Scottish Championship 2021-221–1HT 0–0
Ayr v ArbroathSat, 7 Aug 2021 · Scottish Championship 2021-222–2HT 0–2
Arbroath v AyrSat, 17 Apr 2021 · Scottish Championship 2020-214–0HT 3–0
Ayr v ArbroathSat, 27 Feb 2021 · Scottish Championship 2020-210–1HT 0–0
Arbroath v AyrSat, 19 Dec 2020 · Scottish Championship 2020-212–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Arbroath at homeWDWDWL

Sat, 10 Octv Morton1–2C ––– · Y –––
Fri, 25 Septv Queens Park2–1C 1–9 · Y 2–3
Sat, 5 Septv Dunfermline1–1C 3–5 · Y 0–2
Sat, 29 Augv Livingston1–0C 2–4 · Y 4–3
Sat, 8 Augv Inverness C0–0C 1–6 · Y 3–3
Sat, 25 Julv Stirling1–0C ––– · Y –––

Ayr awayDLLLWW

Sat, 3 Oct@ Livingston2–1C 0–10 · Y 4–3
Fri, 18 Sept@ Queens Park2–0C 6–3 · Y 3–2
Sat, 5 Sept@ Partick0–1C 3–5 · Y 3–2
Sat, 22 Aug@ Raith Rvs0–2C 2–5 · Y 2–2
Fri, 14 Aug@ Kilmarnock2–3C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 8 Aug@ Dunfermline1–1C 6–12 · Y 0–1

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Arbroath at home, Ayr away

56%
Both teams scored
League 53%
18 + 18 matches
86%
Over 0.5 goals
League 92%
18 + 18 matches
78%
Over 1.5 goals
League 77%
18 + 18 matches
44%
Over 2.5 goals
League 51%
18 + 18 matches
28%
Over 3.5 goals
League 31%
18 + 18 matches
19%
Over 4.5 goals
League 17%
18 + 18 matches
2.6
Avg total goals
League 2.80
18 + 18 matches
69%
1st half over 0.5
League 69%
18 + 18 matches
25%
1st half over 1.5
League 33%
18 + 18 matches
10.3
Corners per match
League 10.80
18 + 18 matches
72%
Corners over 8.5
League 71%
18 + 18 matches
61%
Corners over 9.5
League 62%
18 + 18 matches
50%
Corners over 10.5
League 52%
18 + 18 matches
3.7
Cards per match
League 3.87
18 + 18 matches
44%
Cards over 3.5
League 51%
18 + 18 matches
36%
Cards over 4.5
League 36%
18 + 18 matches

Stored season context, 2022-23

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2022-23

Home and away Overall

Arbroath at home, Ayr away

Arbroath (home)		Ayr (away)
8	Position	2
DWDLD	Last 5, oldest to newest	WLLDW
18	Played	18
0.78	Points per match	1.67
11%	Win %	50%
0.61	Scored / match	1.83
1.22	Conceded / match	1.44
1.83	Avg total goals	3.28
44%	Both scored	67%
33%	Clean sheets	22%
44%	Failed to score	17%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

ArbroathAyr

0.331st half scored / match0.61
0.501st half conceded / match0.67
0.282nd half scored / match1.22
0.722nd half conceded / match0.78
22%Leading at half-time33%
61%1st half over 0.578%
17%1st half over 1.533%
61%2nd half over 0.583%
33%2nd half over 1.572%
6%Scored in both halves28%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Arbroath at home, Ayr away, this season.

Goals

ArbroathAyr

0.61Scored / match1.83
1.22Conceded / match1.44
1.83Match total / match3.28
56%Scored 1+83%
6%Scored 2+67%
67%Conceded 1+78%
33%Conceded 2+50%
61%Match over 1.594%
22%Match over 2.567%
11%Match over 3.544%

Shots and xG

ArbroathAyr

8.28Shots for11.22
10.06Shots against8.83
2.83On target for4.89
3.61On target against3.83
7%Shot conversion16%

Corners

ArbroathAyr

5.44Corners for4.89
5.00Corners against5.22
10.44Match total10.11
78%Over 7.578%
78%Over 8.567%
67%Over 9.556%
56%Over 10.544%
44%Over 11.528%

Cards

ArbroathAyr

2.39Cards for1.44
1.89Cards against1.67
4.28Match total3.11
89%Over 2.550%
61%Over 3.528%
44%Over 4.528%
28%Over 5.517%
11.28Fouls committed9.22

Referee this season

C Graham

Matches

Cards / match

5.56

9 matches

Over 3.5 cards

89%

9 matches

Over 4.5 cards

78%

9 matches

Fouls / match

23.00

9 matches

The table, 2022-23

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
1	Dundee	36	26	63
2	Ayr	36	18	58
3	Queens Park	36	11	58
4	Partick	36	20	57
6	Inverness C	36	5	55
7	Raith Rvs	36	-3	43
8	Arbroath	36	-18	34
9	Hamilton	36	-32	31
10	Cove Rangers	36	-37	31

Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.