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Avellino v Empoli, Serie B, Sun, 13 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sun, 13 Dec 2026

AvellinoHome
vKick-off 16:15 UTC
EmpoliAway
WWDLWLeague form, oldest to newestLWLLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Photo: Fire90, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Avellino have 4 scored home results and Empoli 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Avellino at home: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches); Empoli away: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Avellino scored 2.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Empoli scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 7 pooled club appearances (71.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Avellino: 1 wins; Empoli: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Avellino at home and Empoli away.

Avellino at home

xG 1.32
  • Shots per match12.0
  • On target per match5.3
  • Goals per match2.3

Empoli away

xG 0.61
  • Shots per match10.3
  • On target per match2.7
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Avellino
2.48
Expected goals, Empoli
0.83
Most likely score
2-0 (11%)
Three or more goals
64%
Both clubs score
52%
Avellino score at least once
92%
Empoli score at least once
56%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Avellino win–
Draw–
Empoli win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Avellino goals, columns are Empoli goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
211%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
39%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
53%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Avellino 6 matches, Empoli 6, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.6%25.4%
2.552.5%47.5%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.561.0%39.0%
1.523.7%76.3%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.7%42.3%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.580.8%19.2%
3.565.4%34.6%
4.542.3%57.7%
5.519.2%80.8%
6.515.4%84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Avellino wins
1
Draws
2
Empoli wins
Goals / meeting
2.75
11 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Avellino clean sheets
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Empoli clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
7.75
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.50
4 with card data
  1. Empoli v AvellinoFri, 1 May 2026 · Serie B 2025-261–0HT 0–0
  2. Avellino v EmpoliSat, 22 Nov 2025 · Serie B 2025-260–3HT 0–2
  3. Empoli v AvellinoTue, 27 Feb 2018 · Serie B 2017-181–1HT 1–0
  4. Avellino v EmpoliSat, 30 Sept 2017 · Serie B 2017-183–2HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Avellino at homeWWLWDW
Empoli awayLDDLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Avellino at home, Empoli away
  • 71%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 71%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 29%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 13%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    4 + 3 matches
  • 54%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 61%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 7.3
    Corners per match
    League 9.78
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 4.7
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 66%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 42%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Avellino at home, Empoli away
Avellino (home)Empoli (away)
5Position16
LWDWLast 5, oldest to newestLWL
4Played3
1.75Points per match1.00
50%Win %33%
2.25Scored / match1.00
1.00Conceded / match1.67
3.25Avg total goals2.67
75%Both scored67%
25%Clean sheets33%
0%Failed to score0%
1.32xG for0.61
1.07xG against1.26

Half by half

AvellinoEmpoli
  • 1.751st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.251st half conceded / match0.00
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.67
  • 75%Leading at half-time33%
  • 75%1st half over 0.533%
  • 50%1st half over 1.50%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Avellino at home, Empoli away, this season.

Goals

AvellinoEmpoli
  • 2.25Scored / match1.00
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.67
  • 3.25Match total / match2.67
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 50%Scored 2+0%
  • 75%Conceded 1+67%
  • 25%Conceded 2+67%
  • 100%Match over 1.567%
  • 75%Match over 2.567%
  • 25%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

AvellinoEmpoli
  • 12.00Shots for10.33
  • 14.33Shots against15.67
  • 5.33On target for2.67
  • 2.67On target against7.33
  • 14%Shot conversion10%
  • 1.32xG for0.61
  • 1.07xG against1.26

Corners

AvellinoEmpoli
  • 3.33Corners for5.00
  • 4.00Corners against2.33
  • 7.33Match total7.33
  • 33%Over 7.567%
  • 33%Over 8.533%
  • 0%Over 9.50%
  • 0%Over 10.50%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

AvellinoEmpoli
  • 2.67Cards for3.33
  • 2.00Cards against1.33
  • 4.67Match total4.67
  • 100%Over 2.567%
  • 67%Over 3.567%
  • 33%Over 4.533%
  • 33%Over 5.533%
  • 11.00Fouls committed14.33

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3Mantova5511
4Ascoli6311
5Avellino6410
6Modena5410
7Pisa6310
14Cremonese6-26
15Juve Stabia6-36
16Empoli6-46
17Vicenza6-65
18Sampdoria6-74
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.