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Bolton v Milton Keynes Dons, EFL League One, Tue, 14 Feb 2023: statistics and head to head

2022-23. Tue, 14 Feb 2023

BoltonHome
50Full time, half-time 3–0
Milton Keynes DonsAway

Bolton won by 5 goals.

DWLWWLeague form, oldest to newestDLLDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Toughsheet Community Stadium. Photo: Mark Hammond from London, England, CC BY 2.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Bolton have 16 scored home results and Milton Keynes Dons 14 scored away results stored in 2022-23. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Bolton at home: 2.13 points per match (16 measured matches); Milton Keynes Dons away: 1.36 points per match (14 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Bolton scored 1.31 per home match (16 measured matches); Milton Keynes Dons scored 1.21 away (14). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.28 per club appearance across 704 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 30 pooled club appearances (30.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 5. Bolton: 2 wins; Milton Keynes Dons: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half30
Second half20

The match in numbers

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 18Shots10
  • 11Shots on target2
  • 5Corners4
  • 10Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Bolton

  • Shots18
  • On target11
  • Goals5

61% of shots on target, 45% of those scored.

Milton Keynes Dons

  • Shots10
  • On target2
  • Goals0

20% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

5 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Bolton wins
1
Draws
2
Milton Keynes Dons wins
Goals / meeting
2.40
12 goals in 5 meetings
Both scored
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
3 of 5 meetings
Over 2.5
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Bolton clean sheets
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheets
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.20
5 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.20
5 with card data
  1. Milton Keynes Dons v BoltonTue, 13 Sept 2022 · EFL League One 2022-230–2HT 0–1
  2. Milton Keynes Dons v BoltonSat, 26 Feb 2022 · EFL League One 2021-222–0HT 1–0
  3. Bolton v Milton Keynes DonsSat, 7 Aug 2021 · EFL League One 2021-223–3HT 1–1
  4. Milton Keynes Dons v BoltonSat, 22 Feb 2020 · EFL League One 2019-201–0HT 0–0
  5. Bolton v Milton Keynes DonsSat, 16 Nov 2019 · EFL League One 2019-201–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Bolton at homeLWLLWL
Milton Keynes Dons awayDLDLDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Bolton at home, Milton Keynes Dons away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 89%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 20%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 7%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 2.56
    23 + 23 matches
  • 74%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9.7
    Corners per match
    League 10.19
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 70%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 58%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 41%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.4
    Cards per match
    League 3.72
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 53%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 30%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 32%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2022-23

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2022-23

Home and awayOverall
Bolton at home, Milton Keynes Dons away
Bolton (home)Milton Keynes Dons (away)
5Position21
LDWLWLast 5, oldest to newestWDDLD
23Played23
2.04Points per match1.13
61%Win %30%
1.39Scored / match1.04
0.57Conceded / match1.43
1.96Avg total goals2.48
26%Both scored39%
61%Clean sheets30%
26%Failed to score39%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 0.701st half scored / match0.52
  • 0.351st half conceded / match0.83
  • 0.702nd half scored / match0.52
  • 0.222nd half conceded / match0.61
  • 43%Leading at half-time26%
  • 65%1st half over 0.583%
  • 26%1st half over 1.539%
  • 61%2nd half over 0.574%
  • 22%2nd half over 1.530%
  • 26%Scored in both halves26%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Bolton at home, Milton Keynes Dons away, this season.

Goals

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 1.39Scored / match1.04
  • 0.57Conceded / match1.43
  • 1.96Match total / match2.48
  • 74%Scored 1+61%
  • 39%Scored 2+35%
  • 39%Conceded 1+70%
  • 13%Conceded 2+35%
  • 61%Match over 1.570%
  • 30%Match over 2.544%
  • 13%Match over 3.526%

Shots and xG

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 11.70Shots for9.91
  • 9.83Shots against13.87
  • 4.04On target for3.52
  • 2.78On target against4.57
  • 12%Shot conversion11%

Corners

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 5.65Corners for4.09
  • 4.13Corners against5.61
  • 9.78Match total9.70
  • 78%Over 7.583%
  • 70%Over 8.561%
  • 61%Over 9.535%
  • 48%Over 10.535%
  • 30%Over 11.530%

Cards

BoltonMilton Keynes Dons
  • 1.48Cards for2.04
  • 1.87Cards against1.35
  • 3.35Match total3.39
  • 70%Over 2.561%
  • 44%Over 3.552%
  • 26%Over 4.535%
  • 17%Over 5.522%
  • 10.00Fouls committed9.87
Referee this season
M Edwards
Matches
11
Cards / match
3.00
11 matches
Over 3.5 cards
55%
11 matches
Over 4.5 cards
9%
11 matches
Fouls / match
20.55
11 matches

The table, 2022-23

#ClubPGDPts
3Sheffield Weds464496
4Barnsley463386
5Bolton462681
6Peterboro462177
7Derby462176
19Oxford46-747
20Cambridge46-2746
21Milton Keynes Dons46-2245
22Morecambe46-3144
23Accrington46-3744
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.