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Bournemouth v Nott'm Forest, Premier League, Sat, 21 Jan 2023: statistics and head to head

2022-23. Sat, 21 Jan 2023

11Full time, half-time 1–0

Draw. Goal margin: 0.

WLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLWDWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Dean Court. Photo: Matthew Jackson, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Bournemouth have 9 scored home results and Nott'm Forest 9 scored away results stored in 2022-23. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Bournemouth at home: 1.22 points per match (9 measured matches); Nott'm Forest away: 0.56 points per match (9 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Bournemouth scored 1.00 per home match (9 measured matches); Nott'm Forest scored 0.22 away (9). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 380 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 18 pooled club appearances (16.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 5. Bournemouth: 4 wins; Nott'm Forest: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half01

The match in numbers

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 16Shots20
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 4Corners6
  • 10Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Bournemouth

  • Shots16
  • On target4
  • Goals1

25% of shots on target, 25% of those scored.

Nott'm Forest

  • Shots20
  • On target5
  • Goals1

25% of shots on target, 20% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

5 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Bournemouth wins
1
Draws
0
Nott'm Forest wins
Goals / meeting
2.20
11 goals in 5 meetings
Both scored
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
3 of 5 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Bournemouth clean sheets
60%
3 of 5 meetings
Nott'm Forest clean sheets
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.60
5 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.20
5 with card data
  1. Nott'm Forest v BournemouthSat, 3 Sept 2022 · Premier League 2022-232–3HT 2–0
  2. Bournemouth v Nott'm ForestTue, 3 May 2022 · EFL Championship 2021-221–0HT 0–0
  3. Nott'm Forest v BournemouthSat, 14 Aug 2021 · EFL Championship 2021-221–2HT 0–1
  4. Nott'm Forest v BournemouthSat, 13 Feb 2021 · EFL Championship 2020-210–0HT 0–0
  5. Bournemouth v Nott'm ForestTue, 24 Nov 2020 · EFL Championship 2020-212–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Bournemouth at home, Nott'm Forest away
  • 42%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 79%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 32%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 16%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 17%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    19 + 19 matches
  • 76%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 74%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 34%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 38%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 10.6
    Corners per match
    League 10.11
    19 + 19 matches
  • 76%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 65%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 54%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 37%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 43%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 3.3
    Cards per match
    League 3.66
    19 + 19 matches
  • 45%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 49%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 21%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 30%
    19 + 19 matches

Stored season context, 2022-23

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2022-23

Bournemouth at home, Nott'm Forest away
Bournemouth (home)Nott'm Forest (away)
15Position16
LLWLLLast 5, oldest to newestLLLDD
19Played19
1.16Points per match0.42
32%Win %5%
1.05Scored / match0.58
1.47Conceded / match2.32
2.53Avg total goals2.89
42%Both scored42%
26%Clean sheets11%
42%Failed to score53%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 0.531st half scored / match0.26
  • 0.951st half conceded / match0.79
  • 0.532nd half scored / match0.32
  • 0.532nd half conceded / match1.53
  • 32%Leading at half-time21%
  • 90%1st half over 0.563%
  • 42%1st half over 1.526%
  • 63%2nd half over 0.584%
  • 32%2nd half over 1.553%
  • 21%Scored in both halves5%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Bournemouth at home, Nott'm Forest away, this season.

Goals

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 1.05Scored / match0.58
  • 1.47Conceded / match2.32
  • 2.53Match total / match2.89
  • 58%Scored 1+47%
  • 32%Scored 2+11%
  • 74%Conceded 1+90%
  • 37%Conceded 2+68%
  • 74%Match over 1.584%
  • 47%Match over 2.553%
  • 26%Match over 3.537%

Shots and xG

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 10.42Shots for9.16
  • 15.26Shots against16.26
  • 3.79On target for2.53
  • 5.11On target against5.95
  • 10%Shot conversion6%

Corners

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 4.32Corners for4.11
  • 6.11Corners against6.68
  • 10.42Match total10.79
  • 84%Over 7.590%
  • 74%Over 8.579%
  • 58%Over 9.558%
  • 26%Over 10.547%
  • 21%Over 11.542%

Cards

BournemouthNott'm Forest
  • 1.58Cards for1.84
  • 1.74Cards against1.42
  • 3.32Match total3.26
  • 79%Over 2.568%
  • 37%Over 3.553%
  • 21%Over 4.521%
  • 5%Over 5.511%
  • 10.68Fouls committed11.42
Referee this season
A Madley
Matches
24
Cards / match
3.58
24 matches
Over 3.5 cards
38%
24 matches
Over 4.5 cards
29%
24 matches
Fouls / match
22.71
24 matches

The table, 2022-23

#ClubPGDPts
13Wolves38-2741
14West Ham38-1340
15Bournemouth38-3439
16Nott'm Forest38-3038
17Everton38-2336
18Leicester38-1734
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.