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Burton v Derby, EFL League One, Sat, 12 Aug 2023: statistics and head to head

2023-24. Sat, 12 Aug 2023

BurtonHome
03Full time, half-time 0–1
DerbyAway

Derby won by 3 goals.

LWLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDDWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Burton have 0 scored home results and Derby 0 scored away results stored in 2023-24. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Burton at home: unavailable (no measured PPG sample); Derby away: unavailable (no measured PPG sample). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Burton: 1 wins; Derby: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half01
Second half02

The match in numbers

BurtonDerby
  • 14Shots8
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 6Corners2
  • 12Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Burton

  • Shots14
  • On target2
  • Goals0

14% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Derby

  • Shots8
  • On target5
  • Goals3

63% of shots on target, 60% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Burton wins
1
Draws
2
Derby wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
8 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Burton clean sheets
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Derby clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.50
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.50
4 with card data
  1. Derby v BurtonSat, 22 Apr 2023 · EFL League One 2022-231–0HT 0–0
  2. Burton v DerbySat, 10 Dec 2022 · EFL League One 2022-231–1HT 0–1
  3. Burton v DerbySat, 14 Apr 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-183–1HT 2–1
  4. Derby v BurtonSat, 2 Dec 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-181–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Burton at home, Derby away
  • 43%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 50%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 24%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.58
    23 + 23 matches
  • 70%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 30%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 10.31
    23 + 23 matches
  • 67%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 67%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 59%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 56%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 45%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.6
    Cards per match
    League 4.13
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 60%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 26%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2023-24

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2023-24

Burton at home, Derby away
Burton (home)Derby (away)
20Position2
LLLLWLast 5, oldest to newestWLDDW
23Played23
1.09Points per match1.87
30%Win %57%
0.96Scored / match1.61
1.43Conceded / match0.83
2.39Avg total goals2.43
48%Both scored39%
17%Clean sheets48%
39%Failed to score22%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BurtonDerby
  • 0.611st half scored / match0.87
  • 0.481st half conceded / match0.43
  • 0.352nd half scored / match0.74
  • 0.962nd half conceded / match0.39
  • 35%Leading at half-time43%
  • 70%1st half over 0.570%
  • 26%1st half over 1.535%
  • 74%2nd half over 0.570%
  • 39%2nd half over 1.530%
  • 9%Scored in both halves26%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Burton at home, Derby away, this season.

Goals

BurtonDerby
  • 0.96Scored / match1.61
  • 1.43Conceded / match0.83
  • 2.39Match total / match2.43
  • 61%Scored 1+78%
  • 22%Scored 2+44%
  • 83%Conceded 1+52%
  • 39%Conceded 2+26%
  • 70%Match over 1.561%
  • 44%Match over 2.552%
  • 22%Match over 3.526%

Shots and xG

BurtonDerby
  • 11.39Shots for12.26
  • 12.83Shots against10.61
  • 3.39On target for4.35
  • 3.74On target against3.43
  • 8%Shot conversion13%

Corners

BurtonDerby
  • 4.17Corners for6.39
  • 5.00Corners against5.48
  • 9.17Match total11.87
  • 78%Over 7.591%
  • 48%Over 8.587%
  • 39%Over 9.578%
  • 30%Over 10.557%
  • 22%Over 11.552%

Cards

BurtonDerby
  • 2.30Cards for1.83
  • 1.26Cards against1.83
  • 3.57Match total3.65
  • 57%Over 2.570%
  • 44%Over 3.552%
  • 22%Over 4.530%
  • 13%Over 5.513%
  • 13.17Fouls committed10.35
Referee this season
J Bell
Matches
5
Cards / match
4.00
5 matches
Over 3.5 cards
80%
5 matches
Over 4.5 cards
60%
5 matches
Fouls / match
20.60
5 matches

The table, 2023-24

#ClubPGDPts
1Portsmouth463797
2Derby464192
3Bolton463587
4Peterboro462884
18Cambridge46-2248
19Shrewsbury46-3248
20Burton46-2846
21Cheltenham46-2444
22Fleetwood Town46-2343
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.