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CD Marquense v Aurora FC, Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatemala, Apertura, Sun, 15 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 21. Sun, 15 Nov 2026

CD MarquenseHome
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
Aurora FCAway
WDLWWLeague form, oldest to newestLWLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, CD Marquense have 6 scored home results and Aurora FC 6 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: CD Marquense at home: 1.67 points per match (6 measured matches); Aurora FC away: 0.00 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. CD Marquense scored 1.00 per home match (6 measured matches); Aurora FC scored 1.33 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 140 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 12 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. CD Marquense: 1 wins; Aurora FC: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 70 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, CD Marquense
1.72
Expected goals, Aurora FC
0.93
Most likely score
1-0 (12%)
Three or more goals
50%
Both clubs score
50%
CD Marquense score at least once
82%
Aurora FC score at least once
61%
Season sample
12 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

CD Marquense win–
Draw–
Aurora FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are CD Marquense goals, columns are Aurora FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%11%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%10%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.79 goals) and away average (0.97 goals).

Sample. CD Marquense 12 matches, Aurora FC 13, the league 70, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 70 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.577.8%22.2%
2.554.2%45.8%
3.530.6%69.4%
4.515.3%84.7%

First-half goals · 70 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.3%34.7%
1.530.6%69.4%
2.513.9%86.1%
3.56.9%93.1%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
CD Marquense wins
1
Draws
1
Aurora FC wins
Goals / meeting
0.67
2 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 3 meetings
CD Marquense clean sheets
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Aurora FC clean sheets
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Aurora FC v CD MarquenseSat, 19 Sept 2026 · Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatemala, Apertura 20261–0HT 0–0
  2. Aurora FC v CD MarquenseWed, 15 Apr 2026 · Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatemala, Clausura 2025-260–1HT 0–0
  3. CD Marquense v Aurora FCThu, 26 Feb 2026 · Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatemala, Clausura 2025-260–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
CD Marquense at homeLWLDWW
Aurora FC awayLLLLLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
CD Marquense at home, Aurora FC away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 50%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 30%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 3.1
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    6 + 6 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 30%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
CD Marquense at home, Aurora FC away
CD Marquense (home)Aurora FC (away)
4Position8
WLDWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLLLL
6Played6
1.67Points per match0.00
50%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match1.33
1.33Conceded / match2.50
2.33Avg total goals3.83
50%Both scored100%
33%Clean sheets0%
33%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

CD MarquenseAurora FC
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.831st half conceded / match1.33
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.83
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.17
  • 17%Leading at half-time0%
  • 50%1st half over 0.583%
  • 50%1st half over 1.567%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

CD Marquense at home, Aurora FC away, this season.

Goals

CD MarquenseAurora FC
  • 1.00Scored / match1.33
  • 1.33Conceded / match2.50
  • 2.33Match total / match3.83
  • 67%Scored 1+100%
  • 33%Scored 2+33%
  • 67%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+100%
  • 67%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.5100%
  • 17%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatemala, Apertura matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.