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FK Banga Gargždai v FK Žalgiris, TOPLYGA, Sun, 8 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 36. Sun, 8 Nov 2026

FK Banga GargždaiHome
vKick-off 12:15 UTC
FK ŽalgirisAway
DDLLWLeague form, oldest to newestWDWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FK Banga Gargždai have 15 scored home results and FK Žalgiris 15 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FK Banga Gargždai at home: 1.47 points per match (15 measured matches); FK Žalgiris away: 1.33 points per match (15 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FK Banga Gargždai scored 1.47 per home match (15 measured matches); FK Žalgiris scored 0.93 away (15). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.33 per club appearance across 288 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 30 pooled club appearances (30.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. FK Banga Gargždai: 2 wins; FK Žalgiris: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 144 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FK Banga Gargždai
1.31
Expected goals, FK Žalgiris
0.99
Most likely score
1-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
40%
Both clubs score
46%
FK Banga Gargždai score at least once
73%
FK Žalgiris score at least once
63%
Season sample
30 and 31 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FK Banga Gargždai win–
Draw–
FK Žalgiris win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FK Banga Gargždai goals, columns are FK Žalgiris goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%10%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.45 goals) and away average (1.20 goals).

Sample. FK Banga Gargždai 30 matches, FK Žalgiris 31, the league 144, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 20 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 144 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.3%24.7%
2.552.7%47.3%
3.530.1%69.9%
4.514.4%85.6%

First-half goals · 144 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.567.8%32.2%
1.537.0%63.0%
2.511.0%89.0%
3.52.7%97.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
FK Banga Gargždai wins
1
Draws
0
FK Žalgiris wins
Goals / meeting
3.33
10 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
FK Banga Gargždai clean sheets
33%
1 of 3 meetings
FK Žalgiris clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FK Žalgiris v FK Banga GargždaiSun, 16 Aug 2026 · TOPLYGA 20262–3HT 1–1
  2. FK Banga Gargždai v FK ŽalgirisSat, 20 Jun 2026 · TOPLYGA 20263–0HT 1–0
  3. FK Žalgiris v FK Banga GargždaiFri, 17 Apr 2026 · TOPLYGA 20261–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FK Banga Gargždai at homeWLDLLW
FK Žalgiris awayLWLLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FK Banga Gargždai at home, FK Žalgiris away
  • 30%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 89%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 70%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 30%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 7%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.65
    15 + 15 matches
  • 57%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 68%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 23%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    15 + 15 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
FK Banga Gargždai at home, FK Žalgiris away
FK Banga Gargždai (home)FK Žalgiris (away)
5Position4
LDLLWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLDL
15Played15
1.47Points per match1.33
40%Win %33%
1.47Scored / match0.93
1.20Conceded / match0.93
2.67Avg total goals1.87
40%Both scored20%
33%Clean sheets53%
33%Failed to score53%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FK Banga GargždaiFK Žalgiris
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.531st half conceded / match0.40
  • 0.872nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.53
  • 27%Leading at half-time20%
  • 60%1st half over 0.553%
  • 27%1st half over 1.520%
  • 93%2nd half over 0.553%
  • 47%2nd half over 1.547%
  • 27%Scored in both halves13%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FK Banga Gargždai at home, FK Žalgiris away, this season.

Goals

FK Banga GargždaiFK Žalgiris
  • 1.47Scored / match0.93
  • 1.20Conceded / match0.93
  • 2.67Match total / match1.87
  • 67%Scored 1+47%
  • 53%Scored 2+27%
  • 67%Conceded 1+47%
  • 33%Conceded 2+33%
  • 80%Match over 1.560%
  • 60%Match over 2.540%
  • 27%Match over 3.57%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for TOPLYGA matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.