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LD Alajuelense v Municipal Pérez Zeledón, Primera División, Apertura, Mon, 26 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 13. Mon, 26 Oct 2026

LD AlajuelenseHome
vKick-off 00:00 UTC
Municipal Pérez ZeledónAway
DLLWDLeague form, oldest to newestDWLLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, LD Alajuelense have 5 scored home results and Municipal Pérez Zeledón 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: LD Alajuelense at home: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Municipal Pérez Zeledón away: 1.00 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. LD Alajuelense scored 1.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Municipal Pérez Zeledón scored 1.00 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.26 per club appearance across 98 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 10 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. LD Alajuelense: 1 wins; Municipal Pérez Zeledón: 0 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 49 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, LD Alajuelense
2.05
Expected goals, Municipal Pérez Zeledón
0.65
Most likely score
2-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
51%
Both clubs score
42%
LD Alajuelense score at least once
87%
Municipal Pérez Zeledón score at least once
48%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

LD Alajuelense win–
Draw–
Municipal Pérez Zeledón win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are LD Alajuelense goals, columns are Municipal Pérez Zeledón goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
45%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.35 goals) and away average (1.16 goals).

Sample. LD Alajuelense 10 matches, Municipal Pérez Zeledón 10, the league 49, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 49 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.5%25.5%
2.541.2%58.8%
3.521.6%78.4%
4.513.7%86.3%

First-half goals · 48 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.0%24.0%
1.530.0%70.0%
2.56.0%94.0%
3.54.0%96.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
LD Alajuelense wins
2
Draws
0
Municipal Pérez Zeledón wins
Goals / meeting
2.33
7 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 3 meetings
LD Alajuelense clean sheets
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Municipal Pérez Zeledón clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Municipal Pérez Zeledón v LD AlajuelenseSun, 30 Aug 2026 · Primera División, Apertura 2026-271–1HT 0–1
  2. LD Alajuelense v Municipal Pérez ZeledónSat, 14 Mar 2026 · Primera División, Clausura 2025-263–0HT 1–0
  3. Municipal Pérez Zeledón v LD AlajuelenseSun, 18 Jan 2026 · Primera División, Clausura 2025-261–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
LD Alajuelense at homeWLWLWW
Municipal Pérez Zeledón awayDLDLWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
LD Alajuelense at home, Municipal Pérez Zeledón away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 49%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 41%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 20%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.51
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 29%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
LD Alajuelense at home, Municipal Pérez Zeledón away
LD Alajuelense (home)Municipal Pérez Zeledón (away)
5Position8
WWLLWLast 5, oldest to newestLDLWD
5Played5
1.80Points per match1.00
60%Win %20%
1.80Scored / match1.00
1.00Conceded / match1.80
2.80Avg total goals2.80
40%Both scored60%
20%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score40%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

LD AlajuelenseMunicipal Pérez Zeledón
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.20
  • 1.202nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match1.60
  • 20%Leading at half-time20%
  • 60%1st half over 0.540%
  • 40%1st half over 1.520%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 40%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 40%Scored in both halves20%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

LD Alajuelense at home, Municipal Pérez Zeledón away, this season.

Goals

LD AlajuelenseMunicipal Pérez Zeledón
  • 1.80Scored / match1.00
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.80
  • 2.80Match total / match2.80
  • 60%Scored 1+60%
  • 60%Scored 2+20%
  • 80%Conceded 1+80%
  • 20%Conceded 2+40%
  • 80%Match over 1.560%
  • 60%Match over 2.540%
  • 20%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primera División, Apertura matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.