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Ñublense v Colo-Colo, Liga de Primera, Sun, 8 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 27. Sun, 8 Nov 2026

ÑublenseHome
vKick-off 21:00 UTC
Colo-ColoAway
WLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestDWWDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Ñublense have 12 scored home results and Colo-Colo 10 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Ñublense at home: 1.33 points per match (12 measured matches); Colo-Colo away: 2.50 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Ñublense scored 1.25 per home match (12 measured matches); Colo-Colo scored 1.80 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 360 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 13 of 22 pooled club appearances (59.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Ñublense: 0 wins; Colo-Colo: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 180 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Ñublense
0.92
Expected goals, Colo-Colo
1.80
Most likely score
0-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
51%
Both clubs score
50%
Ñublense score at least once
60%
Colo-Colo score at least once
84%
Season sample
22 and 22 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Ñublense win–
Draw–
Colo-Colo win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Ñublense goals, columns are Colo-Colo goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%12%11%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
16%11%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
23%5%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.60 goals) and away average (1.20 goals).

Sample. Ñublense 22 matches, Colo-Colo 22, the league 180, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 180 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.571.4%28.6%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.530.8%69.2%
4.517.0%83.0%

First-half goals · 180 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.571.4%28.6%
1.536.3%63.7%
2.514.3%85.7%
3.53.3%96.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Ñublense wins
0
Draws
1
Colo-Colo wins
Goals / meeting
8.00
8 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Ñublense clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Colo-Colo clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Colo-Colo v ÑublenseSun, 17 May 2026 · Liga de Primera 20266–2HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Ñublense at homeWWWLLW
Colo-Colo awayWWWDDW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Ñublense at home, Colo-Colo away
  • 59%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 68%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 72%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 55%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 32%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 17%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.80
    12 + 10 matches
  • 81%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    12 + 10 matches
  • 45%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    12 + 10 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Ñublense at home, Colo-Colo away
Ñublense (home)Colo-Colo (away)
8Position1
DWWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWWWWD
12Played10
1.33Points per match2.50
33%Win %80%
1.25Scored / match1.80
1.33Conceded / match1.10
2.58Avg total goals2.90
58%Both scored60%
25%Clean sheets40%
17%Failed to score10%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

ÑublenseColo-Colo
  • 0.831st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.80
  • 0.422nd half scored / match1.20
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.30
  • 42%Leading at half-time20%
  • 92%1st half over 0.570%
  • 50%1st half over 1.540%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 17%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Ñublense at home, Colo-Colo away, this season.

Goals

ÑublenseColo-Colo
  • 1.25Scored / match1.80
  • 1.33Conceded / match1.10
  • 2.58Match total / match2.90
  • 83%Scored 1+90%
  • 42%Scored 2+50%
  • 75%Conceded 1+60%
  • 50%Conceded 2+30%
  • 75%Match over 1.560%
  • 50%Match over 2.560%
  • 33%Match over 3.530%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga de Primera matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.