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MatchDaySync

Paderborn v Ein Frankfurt, Bundesliga, Sat, 7 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 9. Sat, 7 Nov 2026

PaderbornHome
vKick-off 14:30 UTC
Ein FrankfurtAway
DLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDLWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Home Deluxe Arena. Photo: Ungry Young Man from Vienna, Austria, CC BY 2.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Paderborn have 3 scored home results and Ein Frankfurt 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Paderborn at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Ein Frankfurt away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Paderborn scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Ein Frankfurt scored 2.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.93 per club appearance across 86 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Paderborn: 1 wins; Ein Frankfurt: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Paderborn at home and Ein Frankfurt away.

Paderborn at home

xG 0.73
  • Shots per match13.5
  • On target per match4.0
  • Goals per match1.0

Ein Frankfurt away

xG 1.75
  • Shots per match11.5
  • On target per match4.0
  • Goals per match2.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 43 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Paderborn
1.22
Expected goals, Ein Frankfurt
1.01
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
39%
Both clubs score
45%
Paderborn score at least once
71%
Ein Frankfurt score at least once
63%
Season sample
5 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Paderborn win–
Draw–
Ein Frankfurt win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Paderborn goals, columns are Ein Frankfurt goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
011%11%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.37 goals) and away average (1.49 goals).

Sample. Paderborn 5 matches, Ein Frankfurt 5, the league 43, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 43 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.584.4%15.6%
2.575.6%24.4%
3.562.2%37.8%
4.542.2%57.8%

First-half goals · 43 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.4%15.6%
1.540.0%60.0%
2.517.8%82.2%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Paderborn wins
0
Draws
1
Ein Frankfurt wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
8 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Paderborn clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Ein Frankfurt clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
9.50
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
3.00
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Ein Frankfurt v PaderbornSat, 27 Jun 2020 · Bundesliga 2019-203–2HT 2–0
  2. Paderborn v Ein FrankfurtSun, 22 Dec 2019 · Bundesliga 2019-202–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Paderborn at homeWLDLWL
Ein Frankfurt awayDLWDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Paderborn at home, Ein Frankfurt away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 77%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 63%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 42%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.86
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 86%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 9.0
    Corners per match
    League 10.86
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 75%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 61%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 56%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 3.8
    Cards per match
    League 3.67
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 56%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 22%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Paderborn at home, Ein Frankfurt away
Paderborn (home)Ein Frankfurt (away)
15Position13
LWLLast 5, oldest to newestDWL
3Played3
1.00Points per match1.33
33%Win %33%
1.00Scored / match2.00
1.33Conceded / match3.33
2.33Avg total goals5.33
33%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets0%
67%Failed to score33%
0.73xG for1.75
1.37xG against1.98

Half by half

PaderbornEin Frankfurt
  • 0.671st half scored / match1.33
  • 0.671st half conceded / match1.67
  • 0.332nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match1.67
  • 33%Leading at half-time67%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.5100%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 33%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Paderborn at home, Ein Frankfurt away, this season.

Goals

PaderbornEin Frankfurt
  • 1.00Scored / match2.00
  • 1.33Conceded / match3.33
  • 2.33Match total / match5.33
  • 33%Scored 1+67%
  • 33%Scored 2+67%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+67%
  • 67%Match over 1.5100%
  • 33%Match over 2.5100%
  • 33%Match over 3.5100%

Shots and xG

PaderbornEin Frankfurt
  • 13.50Shots for11.50
  • 19.50Shots against18.50
  • 4.00On target for4.00
  • 3.50On target against7.50
  • 11%Shot conversion26%
  • 0.73xG for1.75
  • 1.37xG against1.98

Corners

PaderbornEin Frankfurt
  • 5.50Corners for3.50
  • 4.50Corners against4.50
  • 10.00Match total8.00
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 100%Over 8.550%
  • 50%Over 9.50%
  • 50%Over 10.50%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

PaderbornEin Frankfurt
  • 1.50Cards for3.00
  • 2.00Cards against1.00
  • 3.50Match total4.00
  • 50%Over 2.550%
  • 50%Over 3.550%
  • 50%Over 4.550%
  • 50%Over 5.550%
  • 11.00Fouls committed9.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
11Hamburg5-106
12Schalke 044-15
13Ein Frankfurt5-75
14FC Koln4-34
15Paderborn5-44
16Union Berlin5-124
17Hoffenheim5-43
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Bundesliga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.