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Plymouth v Peterboro, EFL League One, Sat, 21 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

PlymouthHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
PeterboroAway
WWLWWLeague form, oldest to newestLDLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Home Park. Photo: Euanargyle, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Plymouth have 5 scored home results and Peterboro 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Plymouth at home: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Peterboro away: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Plymouth scored 1.60 per home match (5 measured matches); Peterboro scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.44 per club appearance across 204 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 10 pooled club appearances (40.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Plymouth: 4 wins; Peterboro: 6 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Plymouth at home and Peterboro away.

Plymouth at home

xG 1.42
  • Shots per match12.3
  • On target per match3.5
  • Goals per match1.6

Peterboro away

xG 1.38
  • Shots per match12.3
  • On target per match3.8
  • Goals per match0.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 102 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Plymouth
2.00
Expected goals, Peterboro
0.63
Most likely score
1-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
49%
Both clubs score
40%
Plymouth score at least once
86%
Peterboro score at least once
47%
Season sample
10 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Plymouth win–
Draw–
Peterboro win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Plymouth goals, columns are Peterboro goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
45%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.40 goals).

Sample. Plymouth 10 matches, Peterboro 9, the league 102, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.9%23.1%
2.554.8%45.2%
3.534.6%65.4%
4.516.3%83.7%

First-half goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.564.4%35.6%
1.534.6%65.4%
2.516.3%83.7%
3.51.9%98.1%

Corners · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.571.7%28.3%
9.557.6%42.4%
10.545.7%54.3%

Yellow + red card events · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.595.7%4.3%
1.589.1%10.9%
2.575.0%25.0%
3.550.0%50.0%
4.532.6%67.4%
5.518.5%81.5%
6.59.8%90.2%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Plymouth wins
0
Draws
6
Peterboro wins
Goals / meeting
2.80
28 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Plymouth clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Peterboro clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.00
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.00
10 with card data
  1. Peterboro v PlymouthSat, 17 Jan 2026 · EFL League One 2025-260–1HT 0–1
  2. Plymouth v PeterboroSat, 20 Sept 2025 · EFL League One 2025-260–1HT 0–1
  3. Peterboro v PlymouthSat, 25 Feb 2023 · EFL League One 2022-235–2HT 2–1
  4. Plymouth v PeterboroSat, 13 Aug 2022 · EFL League One 2022-232–0HT 1–0
  5. Plymouth v PeterboroTue, 23 Feb 2021 · EFL League One 2020-210–3HT 0–0
  6. Peterboro v PlymouthTue, 24 Nov 2020 · EFL League One 2020-211–0HT 1–0
  7. Peterboro v PlymouthSat, 2 Feb 2019 · EFL League One 2018-190–1HT 0–0
  8. Plymouth v PeterboroSat, 25 Aug 2018 · EFL League One 2018-191–5HT 0–2
  9. Plymouth v PeterboroSat, 7 Apr 2018 · EFL League One 2017-182–1HT 1–1
  10. Peterboro v PlymouthSat, 5 Aug 2017 · EFL League One 2017-182–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Plymouth at homeLWWWLW
Peterboro awayLWLDLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Plymouth at home, Peterboro away
  • 40%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.88
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 65%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 10.72
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 72%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.4
    Cards per match
    League 3.78
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 50%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 32%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Plymouth at home, Peterboro away
Plymouth (home)Peterboro (away)
1Position20
LWWLWLast 5, oldest to newestLLDLW
5Played5
1.80Points per match0.80
60%Win %20%
1.60Scored / match0.80
1.00Conceded / match1.80
2.60Avg total goals2.60
40%Both scored40%
40%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score60%
1.42xG for1.38
1.14xG against1.78

Half by half

PlymouthPeterboro
  • 0.801st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.60
  • 0.802nd half scored / match0.20
  • 0.402nd half conceded / match1.20
  • 40%Leading at half-time20%
  • 80%1st half over 0.560%
  • 60%1st half over 1.540%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 20%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 60%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Plymouth at home, Peterboro away, this season.

Goals

PlymouthPeterboro
  • 1.60Scored / match0.80
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.80
  • 2.60Match total / match2.60
  • 80%Scored 1+40%
  • 60%Scored 2+20%
  • 60%Conceded 1+100%
  • 20%Conceded 2+40%
  • 80%Match over 1.580%
  • 60%Match over 2.540%
  • 20%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

PlymouthPeterboro
  • 12.25Shots for12.25
  • 9.50Shots against15.50
  • 3.50On target for3.75
  • 1.75On target against5.75
  • 12%Shot conversion2%
  • 1.42xG for1.38
  • 1.14xG against1.78

Corners

PlymouthPeterboro
  • 5.00Corners for5.25
  • 5.25Corners against5.50
  • 10.25Match total10.75
  • 75%Over 7.5100%
  • 50%Over 8.575%
  • 50%Over 9.575%
  • 50%Over 10.525%
  • 50%Over 11.525%

Cards

PlymouthPeterboro
  • 2.00Cards for1.75
  • 1.75Cards against1.25
  • 3.75Match total3.00
  • 75%Over 2.550%
  • 50%Over 3.550%
  • 25%Over 4.525%
  • 25%Over 5.525%
  • 12.75Fouls committed9.25

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Plymouth10619
2Bradford9317
3Stockport9916
18Blackpool8-18
19Barnsley8-78
20Peterboro9-78
21Bromley8-118
22Notts County8-37
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.