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Watford v Middlesbrough, EFL Championship, Sat, 30 Sept 2023: statistics and head to head

2023-24. Sat, 30 Sept 2023

23Full time, half-time 1–2

Middlesbrough won by 1 goal.

DLDWLLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Vicarage Road. Photo: Jbb503, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Watford have 5 scored home results and Middlesbrough 4 scored away results stored in 2023-24. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Watford at home: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches); Middlesbrough away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Watford scored 1.60 per home match (5 measured matches); Middlesbrough scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.41 per club appearance across 196 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 9 pooled club appearances (44.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Watford: 2 wins; Middlesbrough: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half12
Second half11

The match in numbers

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 17Shots9
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 9Corners3
  • 10Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Watford

  • Shots17
  • On target4
  • Goals2

24% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Middlesbrough

  • Shots9
  • On target3
  • Goals3

33% of shots on target, 100% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Watford wins
1
Draws
1
Middlesbrough wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
8 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Watford clean sheets
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Middlesbrough clean sheets
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.50
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.75
4 with card data
  1. Middlesbrough v WatfordSat, 28 Jan 2023 · EFL Championship 2022-232–0HT 2–0
  2. Watford v MiddlesbroughTue, 30 Aug 2022 · EFL Championship 2022-232–1HT 1–1
  3. Middlesbrough v WatfordMon, 5 Apr 2021 · EFL Championship 2020-211–1HT 0–1
  4. Watford v MiddlesbroughFri, 11 Sept 2020 · EFL Championship 2020-211–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Watford at home, Middlesbrough away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 61%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 52%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 22%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.68
    23 + 23 matches
  • 70%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 69%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 10.2
    Corners per match
    League 10.65
    23 + 23 matches
  • 80%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 54%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 46%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 48%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 4.04
    23 + 23 matches
  • 57%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 58%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 41%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 39%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2023-24

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2023-24

Watford at home, Middlesbrough away
Watford (home)Middlesbrough (away)
15Position8
LDDDWLast 5, oldest to newestWDDDW
23Played23
1.17Points per match1.52
26%Win %43%
1.39Scored / match1.78
1.22Conceded / match1.57
2.61Avg total goals3.35
57%Both scored74%
35%Clean sheets13%
22%Failed to score13%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 0.741st half scored / match0.61
  • 0.701st half conceded / match0.87
  • 0.652nd half scored / match1.17
  • 0.522nd half conceded / match0.70
  • 13%Leading at half-time22%
  • 61%1st half over 0.578%
  • 48%1st half over 1.539%
  • 70%2nd half over 0.587%
  • 35%2nd half over 1.561%
  • 17%Scored in both halves30%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Watford at home, Middlesbrough away, this season.

Goals

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 1.39Scored / match1.78
  • 1.22Conceded / match1.57
  • 2.61Match total / match3.35
  • 78%Scored 1+87%
  • 35%Scored 2+61%
  • 65%Conceded 1+87%
  • 44%Conceded 2+44%
  • 70%Match over 1.591%
  • 52%Match over 2.570%
  • 35%Match over 3.539%

Shots and xG

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 15.22Shots for13.00
  • 9.74Shots against12.78
  • 4.70On target for4.83
  • 3.78On target against4.22
  • 9%Shot conversion14%

Corners

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 6.57Corners for4.87
  • 3.43Corners against5.61
  • 10.00Match total10.48
  • 87%Over 7.583%
  • 83%Over 8.578%
  • 52%Over 9.557%
  • 39%Over 10.552%
  • 39%Over 11.539%

Cards

WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • 2.09Cards for2.00
  • 2.26Cards against1.74
  • 4.35Match total3.74
  • 83%Over 2.574%
  • 57%Over 3.557%
  • 52%Over 4.530%
  • 39%Over 5.517%
  • 12.30Fouls committed10.04
Referee this season
O Langford
Matches
28
Cards / match
3.21
28 matches
Over 3.5 cards
46%
28 matches
Over 4.5 cards
25%
28 matches
Fouls / match
20.54
28 matches

The table, 2023-24

#ClubPGDPts
6Norwich461573
7Hull46870
8Middlesbrough46969
9Coventry461164
10Preston46-1163
13Millwall46-1059
14Swansea46-657
15Watford46056
16Sunderland46-256
17Stoke46-1156
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.