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Wisla v Korona Kielce, Ekstraklasa, Sat, 6 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 24. Sat, 6 Mar 2027

WislaHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Korona KielceAway
WDWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWLLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Wisla have 7 scored home results and Korona Kielce 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Wisla at home: 3.00 points per match (7 measured matches); Korona Kielce away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Wisla scored 2.00 per home match (7 measured matches); Korona Kielce scored 1.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.53 per club appearance across 238 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 12 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Wisla: 4 wins; Korona Kielce: 2 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 119 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Wisla
1.65
Expected goals, Korona Kielce
0.93
Most likely score
1-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
47%
Both clubs score
49%
Wisla score at least once
81%
Korona Kielce score at least once
60%
Season sample
12 and 12 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Wisla win–
Draw–
Korona Kielce win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Wisla goals, columns are Korona Kielce goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
08%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%12%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%10%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.67 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Wisla 12 matches, Korona Kielce 12, the league 119, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 119 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.584.3%15.7%
2.566.1%33.9%
3.532.2%67.8%
4.520.7%79.3%

First-half goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.568.2%31.8%
1.534.1%65.9%
2.512.9%87.1%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Wisla wins
4
Draws
2
Korona Kielce wins
Goals / meeting
2.60
26 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Wisla clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Korona Kielce clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Korona Kielce v WislaSat, 5 Sept 2026 · Ekstraklasa 2026-271–1HT 1–0
  2. Wisla v Korona KielceSat, 11 Jul 2020 · Ekstraklasa 2019-201–1
  3. Wisla v Korona KielceSun, 23 Feb 2020 · Ekstraklasa 2019-202–0
  4. Korona Kielce v WislaSat, 14 Sept 2019 · Ekstraklasa 2019-201–1
  5. Wisla v Korona KielceFri, 10 May 2019 · Ekstraklasa 2018-191–0
  6. Korona Kielce v WislaSat, 9 Mar 2019 · Ekstraklasa 2018-192–6
  7. Wisla v Korona KielceSat, 29 Sept 2018 · Ekstraklasa 2018-190–1
  8. Korona Kielce v WislaSun, 6 May 2018 · Ekstraklasa 2017-180–3
  9. Wisla v Korona KielceWed, 28 Feb 2018 · Ekstraklasa 2017-181–1
  10. Korona Kielce v WislaSat, 23 Sept 2017 · Ekstraklasa 2017-182–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Wisla at homeWWWWWW
Korona Kielce awayLLWWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Wisla at home, Korona Kielce away
  • 49%
    Both teams scored
    League 66%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 92%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 85%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 49%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 66%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 20%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.05
    7 + 5 matches
  • 68%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 69%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 23%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Wisla at home, Korona Kielce away
Wisla (home)Korona Kielce (away)
2Position8
WWWWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLWWW
7Played5
3.00Points per match1.80
100%Win %60%
2.00Scored / match1.20
0.57Conceded / match0.80
2.57Avg total goals2.00
57%Both scored40%
43%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score40%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

WislaKorona Kielce
  • 0.801st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.201st half conceded / match0.25
  • 1.202nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.402nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 60%Leading at half-time75%
  • 60%1st half over 0.575%
  • 20%1st half over 1.525%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 40%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Wisla at home, Korona Kielce away, this season.

Goals

WislaKorona Kielce
  • 2.00Scored / match1.20
  • 0.57Conceded / match0.80
  • 2.57Match total / match2.00
  • 100%Scored 1+60%
  • 100%Scored 2+60%
  • 57%Conceded 1+80%
  • 0%Conceded 2+0%
  • 100%Match over 1.560%
  • 57%Match over 2.540%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Górnik Zabrze101025
2Wisla12723
3Legia101322
4Lech Poznań91322
6Zaglebie12121
7Lech Poznan81019
8Korona Kielce12018
9Piast Gliwice11116
10GKS Katowice9615
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Ekstraklasa matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.