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MatchDaySync

Dortmund v Freiburg, Bundesliga, Sat, 16 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 17. Sat, 16 Jan 2027

DortmundHome
vKick-off 10:00 UTC
FreiburgAway
WWWWDLeague form, oldest to newestWWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Westfalenstadion. Photo: Arne Müseler / www.arne-mueseler.com / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Dortmund have 3 scored home results and Freiburg 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Dortmund at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Freiburg away: 2.00 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Dortmund scored 2.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Freiburg scored 1.50 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.93 per club appearance across 86 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 2 of 5 pooled club appearances (40.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Dortmund: 8 wins; Freiburg: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Dortmund at home and Freiburg away.

Dortmund at home

xG 1.59
  • Shots per match17.0
  • On target per match7.0
  • Goals per match2.3

Freiburg away

xG 2.17
  • Shots per match19.0
  • On target per match6.0
  • Goals per match1.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validated

No estimate yet

The model needs 5 league matches for each club and 40 in the league before it gives a figure. The stored record holds fewer, so nothing is shown. An empty space is more useful than a made-up number.

Dortmund
5 of 5
Freiburg
4 of 5
League
43 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 26 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 43 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.584.4%15.6%
2.575.6%24.4%
3.562.2%37.8%
4.542.2%57.8%

First-half goals · 43 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.4%15.6%
1.540.0%60.0%
2.517.8%82.2%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

8
Dortmund wins
1
Draws
1
Freiburg wins
Goals / meeting
4.30
43 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
10 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Dortmund clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Freiburg clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.30
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.00
10 with card data
  1. Dortmund v FreiburgSun, 26 Apr 2026 · Bundesliga 2025-264–0HT 3–0
  2. Freiburg v DortmundSun, 14 Dec 2025 · Bundesliga 2025-261–1HT 0–1
  3. Freiburg v DortmundSat, 5 Apr 2025 · Bundesliga 2024-251–4HT 0–1
  4. Dortmund v FreiburgSat, 23 Nov 2024 · Bundesliga 2024-254–0HT 2–0
  5. Dortmund v FreiburgFri, 9 Feb 2024 · Bundesliga 2023-243–0HT 2–0
  6. Freiburg v DortmundSat, 16 Sept 2023 · Bundesliga 2023-242–4HT 2–1
  7. Dortmund v FreiburgSat, 4 Feb 2023 · Bundesliga 2022-235–1HT 1–1
  8. Freiburg v DortmundFri, 12 Aug 2022 · Bundesliga 2022-231–3HT 1–0
  9. Dortmund v FreiburgFri, 14 Jan 2022 · Bundesliga 2021-225–1HT 3–0
  10. Freiburg v DortmundSat, 21 Aug 2021 · Bundesliga 2021-222–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Dortmund at homeWLWWWD
Freiburg awayLLWWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Dortmund at home, Freiburg away
  • 42%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 77%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 63%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 42%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.86
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 86%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 7.8
    Corners per match
    League 10.86
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 75%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 61%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 56%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 3.67
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 56%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 22%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Dortmund at home, Freiburg away
Dortmund (home)Freiburg (away)
1Position3
WWDLast 5, oldest to newestWD
3Played2
2.33Points per match2.00
67%Win %50%
2.33Scored / match1.50
0.67Conceded / match1.00
3.00Avg total goals2.50
33%Both scored50%
67%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score0%
1.59xG for2.17
0.65xG against1.48

Half by half

DortmundFreiburg
  • 1.001st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 1.332nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 67%Leading at half-time50%
  • 67%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.550%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 33%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Dortmund at home, Freiburg away, this season.

Goals

DortmundFreiburg
  • 2.33Scored / match1.50
  • 0.67Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.00Match total / match2.50
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 100%Scored 2+50%
  • 33%Conceded 1+50%
  • 33%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.550%
  • 67%Match over 2.550%
  • 33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

DortmundFreiburg
  • 17.00Shots for19.00
  • 9.00Shots against12.00
  • 7.00On target for6.00
  • 1.50On target against3.00
  • 15%Shot conversion8%
  • 1.59xG for2.17
  • 0.65xG against1.48

Corners

DortmundFreiburg
  • 5.00Corners for4.50
  • 2.00Corners against4.00
  • 7.00Match total8.50
  • 50%Over 7.5100%
  • 50%Over 8.550%
  • 50%Over 9.50%
  • 0%Over 10.50%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

DortmundFreiburg
  • 2.00Cards for2.50
  • 1.00Cards against2.50
  • 3.00Match total5.00
  • 50%Over 2.5100%
  • 50%Over 3.5100%
  • 0%Over 4.550%
  • 0%Over 5.550%
  • 12.00Fouls committed10.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Dortmund5713
2Bayern Munich51211
3Freiburg4910
4Leverkusen5610
5RB Leipzig5109
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Bundesliga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.