Guimaraes vs Estrela stats and head-to-head

2025-26. Sat, 14 Feb 2026

21Full time, half-time 0–1

Guimaraes won by 1 goal.

WWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Photo: Estádio_do_Vitória_de_Guimarães_visto_da_torre_central_do_Castelo_de_Guimarães_02.jpg : Wagner Bonifacio Leite, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Guimaraes have 11 scored home results and Estrela 10 scored away results stored in 2025-26. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Guimaraes at home: 1.64 points per match (11 measured matches); Estrela away: 1.00 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Guimaraes scored 1.36 per home match (11 measured matches); Estrela scored 1.10 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.39 per club appearance across 384 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 11 of 21 pooled club appearances (52.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 5. Guimaraes: 4 wins; Estrela: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half01

Second half20

The match in numbers

GuimaraesEstrela

20Shots7
6Shots on target4
9Corners2
13Fouls18
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Guimaraes

Shots20
On target6
Goals2

30% of shots on target, 33% of those scored.

Estrela

Shots7
On target4
Goals1

57% of shots on target, 25% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

5 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Guimaraes wins

Draws

Estrela wins

Goals / meeting

2.40

12 goals in 5 meetings

Both scored

20%

1 of 5 meetings

Over 1.5

80%

4 of 5 meetings

Over 2.5

40%

2 of 5 meetings

Over 3.5

20%

1 of 5 meetings

Guimaraes clean sheets

80%

4 of 5 meetings

Estrela clean sheets

0 of 5 meetings

Corners / meeting

9.60

5 with corner data

Cards / meeting

4.00

5 with card data

Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 14 Sept 2025 · Primeira Liga 2025-260–2HT 0–1
Guimaraes v EstrelaSun, 16 Mar 2025 · Primeira Liga 2024-252–0HT 1–0
Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 27 Oct 2024 · Primeira Liga 2024-252–2HT 1–1
Guimaraes v EstrelaSun, 21 Jan 2024 · Primeira Liga 2023-243–0HT 1–0
Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 13 Aug 2023 · Primeira Liga 2023-240–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Guimaraes at homeWLLWDD

Sun, 20 Septv Moreirense1–1C 3–0 · Y 0–0
Sun, 6 Septv Casa Pia0–0C 17–4 · Y 2–2
Sun, 23 Augv Nacional1–0C 4–3 · Y 2–1
Sat, 8 Augv Arouca0–1C 5–2 · Y 2–6
Mon, 11 Mayv Casa Pia0–1C 6–4 · Y 2–1
Sat, 25 Aprv Rio Ave2–0C 3–5 · Y 4–4

Estrela awayLLDDWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Guimaraes at home, Estrela away

53%
Both teams scored
League 48%
17 + 17 matches
88%
Over 0.5 goals
League 93%
17 + 17 matches
77%
Over 1.5 goals
League 75%
17 + 17 matches
53%
Over 2.5 goals
League 54%
17 + 17 matches
32%
Over 3.5 goals
League 30%
17 + 17 matches
18%
Over 4.5 goals
League 10%
17 + 17 matches
2.8
Avg total goals
League 2.68
17 + 17 matches
62%
1st half over 0.5
League 69%
17 + 17 matches
38%
1st half over 1.5
League 36%
17 + 17 matches
8.9
Corners per match
League 9.43
17 + 17 matches
47%
Corners over 8.5
League 59%
17 + 17 matches
44%
Corners over 9.5
League 47%
17 + 17 matches
35%
Corners over 10.5
League 36%
17 + 17 matches
5.7
Cards per match
League 5.21
17 + 17 matches
77%
Cards over 3.5
League 72%
17 + 17 matches
71%
Cards over 4.5
League 58%
17 + 17 matches

Stored season context, 2025-26

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2025-26

Home and away Overall

Guimaraes at home, Estrela away

Guimaraes (home)		Estrela (away)
8	Position	15
DLWWL	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLLLD
17	Played	17
1.65	Points per match	0.71
47%	Win %	12%
1.53	Scored / match	1.00
1.12	Conceded / match	1.88
2.65	Avg total goals	2.88
53%	Both scored	53%
29%	Clean sheets	18%
24%	Failed to score	47%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

GuimaraesEstrela

0.531st half scored / match0.47
0.471st half conceded / match0.88
1.002nd half scored / match0.53
0.652nd half conceded / match1.00
12%Leading at half-time18%
53%1st half over 0.571%
41%1st half over 1.535%
82%2nd half over 0.577%
53%2nd half over 1.547%
18%Scored in both halves18%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Guimaraes at home, Estrela away, this season.

Goals

GuimaraesEstrela

1.53Scored / match1.00
1.12Conceded / match1.88
2.65Match total / match2.88
77%Scored 1+53%
41%Scored 2+24%
71%Conceded 1+82%
24%Conceded 2+65%
77%Match over 1.577%
53%Match over 2.553%
24%Match over 3.541%

Shots and xG

GuimaraesEstrela

13.47Shots for8.76
11.24Shots against14.76
4.06On target for3.24
4.18On target against5.00
11%Shot conversion11%

Corners

GuimaraesEstrela

4.41Corners for3.06
4.29Corners against6.06
8.71Match total9.12
65%Over 7.559%
53%Over 8.541%
47%Over 9.541%
29%Over 10.541%
18%Over 11.524%

Cards

GuimaraesEstrela

2.71Cards for2.76
3.00Cards against2.82
5.71Match total5.59
82%Over 2.594%
71%Over 3.582%
65%Over 4.577%
53%Over 5.559%
15.53Fouls committed14.53

The table, 2025-26

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
6	Gil Vicente	34	9	50
7	Moreirense	34	-12	43
8	Guimaraes	34	-12	42
9	Arouca	34	-17	42
10	Estoril	34	-3	39
13	Rio Ave	34	-22	36
14	Nacional	34	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	-28	28

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primeira Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.