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Guimaraes v Estrela, Primeira Liga, Sat, 14 Feb 2026: statistics and head to head

2025-26. Sat, 14 Feb 2026

GuimaraesHome
21Full time, half-time 0–1
EstrelaAway

Guimaraes won by 1 goal.

WWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Photo: Estádio_do_Vitória_de_Guimarães_visto_da_torre_central_do_Castelo_de_Guimarães_02.jpg : Wagner Bonifacio Leite, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Guimaraes have 11 scored home results and Estrela 10 scored away results stored in 2025-26. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Guimaraes at home: 1.64 points per match (11 measured matches); Estrela away: 1.00 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Guimaraes scored 1.36 per home match (11 measured matches); Estrela scored 1.10 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.39 per club appearance across 384 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 11 of 21 pooled club appearances (52.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 5. Guimaraes: 4 wins; Estrela: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half01
Second half20

The match in numbers

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 20Shots7
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 9Corners2
  • 13Fouls18
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Guimaraes

  • Shots20
  • On target6
  • Goals2

30% of shots on target, 33% of those scored.

Estrela

  • Shots7
  • On target4
  • Goals1

57% of shots on target, 25% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

5 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Guimaraes wins
1
Draws
0
Estrela wins
Goals / meeting
2.40
12 goals in 5 meetings
Both scored
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
4 of 5 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Guimaraes clean sheets
80%
4 of 5 meetings
Estrela clean sheets
0%
0 of 5 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.60
5 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.00
5 with card data
  1. Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 14 Sept 2025 · Primeira Liga 2025-260–2HT 0–1
  2. Guimaraes v EstrelaSun, 16 Mar 2025 · Primeira Liga 2024-252–0HT 1–0
  3. Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 27 Oct 2024 · Primeira Liga 2024-252–2HT 1–1
  4. Guimaraes v EstrelaSun, 21 Jan 2024 · Primeira Liga 2023-243–0HT 1–0
  5. Estrela v GuimaraesSun, 13 Aug 2023 · Primeira Liga 2023-240–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
GuimaraesWLLDLD
EstrelaWDWWDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Guimaraes at home, Estrela away
  • 53%
    Both teams scored
    League 48%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 77%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 53%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 32%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 30%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 18%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 10%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.68
    17 + 17 matches
  • 62%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 69%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 8.9
    Corners per match
    League 9.43
    17 + 17 matches
  • 47%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 59%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 44%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 47%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 35%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 36%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 5.7
    Cards per match
    League 5.21
    17 + 17 matches
  • 77%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 72%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 71%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 58%
    17 + 17 matches

Stored season context, 2025-26

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2025-26

Home and awayOverall
Guimaraes at home, Estrela away
Guimaraes (home)Estrela (away)
8Position15
DLWWLLast 5, oldest to newestLLLLD
17Played17
1.65Points per match0.71
47%Win %12%
1.53Scored / match1.00
1.12Conceded / match1.88
2.65Avg total goals2.88
53%Both scored53%
29%Clean sheets18%
24%Failed to score47%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 0.531st half scored / match0.47
  • 0.471st half conceded / match0.88
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.53
  • 0.652nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 12%Leading at half-time18%
  • 53%1st half over 0.571%
  • 41%1st half over 1.535%
  • 82%2nd half over 0.577%
  • 53%2nd half over 1.547%
  • 18%Scored in both halves18%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Guimaraes at home, Estrela away, this season.

Goals

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 1.53Scored / match1.00
  • 1.12Conceded / match1.88
  • 2.65Match total / match2.88
  • 77%Scored 1+53%
  • 41%Scored 2+24%
  • 71%Conceded 1+82%
  • 24%Conceded 2+65%
  • 77%Match over 1.577%
  • 53%Match over 2.553%
  • 24%Match over 3.541%

Shots and xG

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 13.47Shots for8.76
  • 11.24Shots against14.76
  • 4.06On target for3.24
  • 4.18On target against5.00
  • 11%Shot conversion11%

Corners

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 4.41Corners for3.06
  • 4.29Corners against6.06
  • 8.71Match total9.12
  • 65%Over 7.559%
  • 53%Over 8.541%
  • 47%Over 9.541%
  • 29%Over 10.541%
  • 18%Over 11.524%

Cards

GuimaraesEstrela
  • 2.71Cards for2.76
  • 3.00Cards against2.82
  • 5.71Match total5.59
  • 82%Over 2.594%
  • 71%Over 3.582%
  • 65%Over 4.577%
  • 53%Over 5.559%
  • 15.53Fouls committed14.53

The table, 2025-26

#ClubPGDPts
6Gil Vicente34950
7Moreirense34-1243
8Guimaraes34-1242
9Arouca34-1742
10Estoril34-339
13Rio Ave34-2236
14Nacional34-834
15Estrela34-1830
16Casa Pia34-2630
17Tondela34-2828
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primeira Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.