Middlesbrough vs Watford stats and head-to-head

2024-25. Sat, 15 Feb 2025

MiddlesbroughHome

01Full time, half-time 0–1

WatfordAway

Watford won by 1 goal.

LWLDLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Riverside Stadium. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Middlesbrough have 16 scored home results and Watford 16 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Middlesbrough at home: 1.63 points per match (16 measured matches); Watford away: 0.81 points per match (16 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Middlesbrough scored 1.50 per home match (16 measured matches); Watford scored 1.38 away (16). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.24 per club appearance across 768 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 18 of 32 pooled club appearances (56.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 7. Middlesbrough: 3 wins; Watford: 3 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half01

Second half00

The match in numbers

MiddlesbroughWatford

13Shots14
5Shots on target6
8Corners5
7Fouls7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Middlesbrough

Shots13
On target5
Goals0

38% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Watford

Shots14
On target6
Goals1

43% of shots on target, 17% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

7 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Middlesbrough wins

Draws

Watford wins

Goals / meeting

2.86

20 goals in 7 meetings

Both scored

71%

5 of 7 meetings

Over 1.5

86%

6 of 7 meetings

Over 2.5

57%

4 of 7 meetings

Over 3.5

29%

2 of 7 meetings

Middlesbrough clean sheets

14%

1 of 7 meetings

Watford clean sheets

14%

1 of 7 meetings

Corners / meeting

10.29

7 with corner data

Cards / meeting

2.71

7 with card data

Watford v MiddlesbroughSat, 5 Oct 2024 · EFL Championship 2024-252–1HT 0–0
Middlesbrough v WatfordSat, 4 May 2024 · EFL Championship 2023-243–1HT 1–0
Watford v MiddlesbroughSat, 30 Sept 2023 · EFL Championship 2023-242–3HT 1–2
Middlesbrough v WatfordSat, 28 Jan 2023 · EFL Championship 2022-232–0HT 2–0
Watford v MiddlesbroughTue, 30 Aug 2022 · EFL Championship 2022-232–1HT 1–1
Middlesbrough v WatfordMon, 5 Apr 2021 · EFL Championship 2020-211–1HT 0–1
Watford v MiddlesbroughFri, 11 Sept 2020 · EFL Championship 2020-211–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Middlesbrough at homeWWWWDW

Watford awayLLDLLL

Fri, 18 Sept@ Bristol City0–1C 5–2 · Y 5–2
Sat, 5 Sept@ West Brom0–1C 4–5 · Y 3–5
Tue, 1 Sept@ Swansea0–2C 3–5 · Y 4–0
Sat, 22 Aug@ Wrexham1–1C 3–10 · Y 0–2
Sat, 25 Apr@ Middlesbrough1–5C 3–6 · Y 2–1
Tue, 21 Apr@ West Brom0–3C 3–4 · Y 3–4

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Middlesbrough at home, Watford away

52%
Both teams scored
League 50%
23 + 23 matches
94%
Over 0.5 goals
League 92%
23 + 23 matches
67%
Over 1.5 goals
League 71%
23 + 23 matches
50%
Over 2.5 goals
League 44%
23 + 23 matches
24%
Over 3.5 goals
League 22%
23 + 23 matches
13%
Over 4.5 goals
League 9%
23 + 23 matches
2.6
Avg total goals
League 2.45
23 + 23 matches
76%
1st half over 0.5
League 67%
23 + 23 matches
35%
1st half over 1.5
League 30%
23 + 23 matches
10.2
Corners per match
League 10.19
23 + 23 matches
65%
Corners over 8.5
League 66%
23 + 23 matches
54%
Corners over 9.5
League 55%
23 + 23 matches
37%
Corners over 10.5
League 43%
23 + 23 matches
4.4
Cards per match
League 3.82
23 + 23 matches
59%
Cards over 3.5
League 54%
23 + 23 matches
46%
Cards over 4.5
League 34%
23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Home and away Overall

Middlesbrough at home, Watford away

Middlesbrough (home)		Watford (away)
10	Position	14
WWLWD	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLLLL
23	Played	23
1.70	Points per match	0.74
48%	Win %	17%
1.35	Scored / match	1.13
1.00	Conceded / match	1.70
2.35	Avg total goals	2.83
44%	Both scored	61%
35%	Clean sheets	13%
30%	Failed to score	30%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

MiddlesbroughWatford

0.741st half scored / match0.35
0.521st half conceded / match0.78
0.612nd half scored / match0.78
0.482nd half conceded / match0.91
35%Leading at half-time17%
78%1st half over 0.574%
39%1st half over 1.530%
61%2nd half over 0.578%
30%2nd half over 1.557%
35%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Middlesbrough at home, Watford away, this season.

Goals

MiddlesbroughWatford

1.35Scored / match1.13
1.00Conceded / match1.70
2.35Match total / match2.83
70%Scored 1+70%
44%Scored 2+22%
65%Conceded 1+87%
22%Conceded 2+61%
61%Match over 1.574%
39%Match over 2.561%
22%Match over 3.526%

Shots and xG

MiddlesbroughWatford

15.87Shots for10.70
9.35Shots against13.39
4.65On target for3.30
3.26On target against4.87
9%Shot conversion11%

Corners

MiddlesbroughWatford

6.09Corners for4.61
4.13Corners against5.52
10.22Match total10.13
78%Over 7.596%
57%Over 8.574%
52%Over 9.557%
44%Over 10.530%
39%Over 11.530%

Cards

MiddlesbroughWatford

1.26Cards for2.22
2.57Cards against2.65
3.83Match total4.87
74%Over 2.591%
52%Over 3.565%
39%Over 4.552%
9%Over 5.535%
9.35Fouls committed12.57

Referee this season

A Herczeg

Matches

Cards / match

4.00

6 matches

Over 3.5 cards

67%

6 matches

Over 4.5 cards

17%

6 matches

Fouls / match

22.83

6 matches

The table, 2024-25

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
8	Millwall	46	-2	66
9	West Brom	46	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	8	64
11	Swansea	46	-5	61
12	Sheffield Weds	46	-9	58
13	Norwich	46	3	57
14	Watford	46	-8	57
15	QPR	46	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	-13	54

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.