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Nacional v Rio Ave, Primeira Liga, Sun, 25 Jan 2026: statistics and head to head

2025-26. Sun, 25 Jan 2026

NacionalHome
40Full time, half-time 1–0
Rio AveAway

Nacional won by 4 goals.

WWLLWLeague form, oldest to newestDLDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estádio da Madeira. Photo: Mghamburg, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Nacional have 8 scored home results and Rio Ave 9 scored away results stored in 2025-26. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Nacional at home: 0.88 points per match (8 measured matches); Rio Ave away: 1.22 points per match (9 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Nacional scored 1.50 per home match (8 measured matches); Rio Ave scored 1.33 away (9). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.36 per club appearance across 332 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 13 of 17 pooled club appearances (76.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 7. Nacional: 0 wins; Rio Ave: 3 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half30

The match in numbers

NacionalRio Ave
  • 14Shots11
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 5Corners5
  • 18Fouls6
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Nacional

  • Shots14
  • On target5
  • Goals4

36% of shots on target, 80% of those scored.

Rio Ave

  • Shots11
  • On target6
  • Goals0

55% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

7 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Nacional wins
4
Draws
3
Rio Ave wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
21 goals in 7 meetings
Both scored
71%
5 of 7 meetings
Over 1.5
71%
5 of 7 meetings
Over 2.5
57%
4 of 7 meetings
Over 3.5
29%
2 of 7 meetings
Nacional clean sheets
14%
1 of 7 meetings
Rio Ave clean sheets
29%
2 of 7 meetings
Corners / meeting
12.00
7 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.29
7 with card data
  1. Rio Ave v NacionalSun, 17 Aug 2025 · Primeira Liga 2025-261–1HT 1–0
  2. Nacional v Rio AveSat, 10 May 2025 · Primeira Liga 2024-253–3HT 0–3
  3. Rio Ave v NacionalSun, 29 Dec 2024 · Primeira Liga 2024-252–1HT 1–1
  4. Nacional v Rio AveWed, 19 May 2021 · Primeira Liga 2020-211–2HT 1–0
  5. Rio Ave v NacionalFri, 5 Feb 2021 · Primeira Liga 2020-210–0HT 0–0
  6. Nacional v Rio AveSun, 17 Mar 2019 · Primeira Liga 2018-190–1HT 0–1
  7. Rio Ave v NacionalMon, 5 Nov 2018 · Primeira Liga 2018-193–3HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Nacional at homeLWWLLL
Rio Ave awayLDLWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 48%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 78%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 24%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 30%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 7%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 10%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.68
    34 + 34 matches
  • 69%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 69%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 29%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 10.8
    Corners per match
    League 9.43
    34 + 34 matches
  • 77%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 59%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 68%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 47%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 54%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 36%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 5.4
    Cards per match
    League 5.21
    34 + 34 matches
  • 68%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 72%
    34 + 34 matches
  • 62%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 58%
    34 + 34 matches

Stored season context, 2025-26

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2025-26

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
NacionalRio Ave
14Position13
WWLLWLast 5, oldest to newestDLDLD
34Played34
1.00Points per match1.06
26%Win %24%
1.09Scored / match1.03
1.32Conceded / match1.68
2.41Avg total goals2.71
47%Both scored53%
24%Clean sheets18%
32%Failed to score38%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

NacionalRio Ave
  • 0.441st half scored / match0.38
  • 0.531st half conceded / match0.74
  • 0.652nd half scored / match0.65
  • 0.792nd half conceded / match0.94
  • 24%Leading at half-time18%
  • 65%1st half over 0.574%
  • 27%1st half over 1.532%
  • 74%2nd half over 0.579%
  • 38%2nd half over 1.553%
  • 12%Scored in both halves15%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

NacionalRio Ave
  • 1.09Scored / match1.03
  • 1.32Conceded / match1.68
  • 2.41Match total / match2.71
  • 68%Scored 1+62%
  • 27%Scored 2+32%
  • 77%Conceded 1+82%
  • 44%Conceded 2+47%
  • 74%Match over 1.582%
  • 41%Match over 2.559%
  • 18%Match over 3.529%

Shots and xG

NacionalRio Ave
  • 12.65Shots for10.47
  • 14.56Shots against15.41
  • 4.21On target for3.85
  • 4.47On target against5.15
  • 9%Shot conversion10%

Corners

NacionalRio Ave
  • 4.38Corners for4.26
  • 6.38Corners against6.56
  • 10.76Match total10.82
  • 85%Over 7.585%
  • 77%Over 8.577%
  • 68%Over 9.568%
  • 56%Over 10.553%
  • 41%Over 11.544%

Cards

NacionalRio Ave
  • 3.18Cards for2.79
  • 2.53Cards against2.38
  • 5.71Match total5.18
  • 91%Over 2.582%
  • 74%Over 3.562%
  • 68%Over 4.556%
  • 56%Over 5.532%
  • 14.91Fouls committed12.88

The table, 2025-26

#ClubPGDPts
11Alverca34-1739
12Santa Clara34-936
13Rio Ave34-2236
14Nacional34-834
15Estrela34-1830
16Casa Pia34-2630
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primeira Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.