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MatchDaySync

Uganda Premier League predictionsThe next fourteen days.

Uganda. Every Uganda Premier League fixture still to kick off in the next two weeks, estimated from the season so far. A prototype model, labelled on every figure.

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Uganda Premier League table and resultsAll competitions today
2026-27
12 of 28
fixtures with an estimate
League matches
41
Home goals a match
1.20
Away goals a match
0.83

Uganda

Uganda Premier League

From 41 league matches, 2026-27 · home 1.20, away 0.83 goals a match

Filter by league baseline probability

Find upcoming fixtures by goal, corner or card probability. Only fixtures with measured baseline values appear when a condition is selected.

28 matching upcoming fixtures · showing 28

Fri 23 Oct · · Round 7

Vipers SC v Police FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Vipers SC
3 of 5
Police FC
5 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

Mbarara City v Vipers SC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Mbarara City
4 of 5
Vipers SC
3 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

Kitara FC v BUL FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Kitara FC
4 of 5
BUL FC
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

SC Villa v Blacks Power FC

Expected goals 2.61 to 0.32 · most likely 2-0 (18%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

Police FC v Kigezi Homeboyz FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Police FC
5 of 5
Kigezi Homeboyz FC
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

UPDF v Uganda Revenue Authority

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

UPDF
4 of 5
Uganda Revenue Authority
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

NEC FC v Ntungasaze FC

Expected goals 4.62 to 0.19 · most likely 4-0 (17%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 27 Oct · · Round 8

Express FC v Kataka

Expected goals 1.12 to 0.39 · most likely 1-0 (25%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 28 Oct · · Round 8

Kampala City v Lugazi FC

Expected goals 0.84 to 0.52 · most likely 0-0 (26%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 28 Oct · · Round 8

Entebbe UPPC FC v Maroons

Expected goals 1.68 to 0.52 · most likely 1-0 (19%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 9

Blacks Power FC v NEC FC

Expected goals 0.47 to 2.04 · most likely 0-2 (17%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Fri 30 Oct · · Round 9

Kataka v Police FC

Expected goals 0.56 to 0.78 · most likely 0-0 (26%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

Mbarara City v Kampala City

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Mbarara City
4 of 5
Kampala City
5 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

UPDF v Kitara FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

UPDF
4 of 5
Kitara FC
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

Lugazi FC v SC Villa

Expected goals 0.37 to 2.33 · most likely 0-2 (18%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

BUL FC v Entebbe UPPC FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

BUL FC
4 of 5
Entebbe UPPC FC
5 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

Maroons v Kigezi Homeboyz FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Maroons
5 of 5
Kigezi Homeboyz FC
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sat 31 Oct · · Round 9

Uganda Revenue Authority v Vipers SC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Uganda Revenue Authority
4 of 5
Vipers SC
3 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Sun 1 Nov · · Round 9

Ntungasaze FC v Express FC

Expected goals 0.56 to 1.07 · most likely 0-1 (21%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 3 Nov · · Round 10

BUL FC v SC Villa

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

BUL FC
4 of 5
SC Villa
5 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 3 Nov · · Round 10

Police FC v Kitara FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Police FC
5 of 5
Kitara FC
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Tue 3 Nov · · Round 10

NEC FC v UPDF

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

NEC FC
5 of 5
UPDF
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 4 Nov · · Round 10

Kampala City v Maroons

Expected goals 0.56 to 1.04 · most likely 0-1 (21%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 4 Nov · · Round 10

Kataka v Uganda Revenue Authority

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Kataka
5 of 5
Uganda Revenue Authority
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Wed 4 Nov · · Round 10

Vipers SC v Lugazi FC

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Vipers SC
3 of 5
Lugazi FC
5 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Thu 5 Nov · · Round 10

Express FC v Blacks Power FC

Expected goals 0.98 to 0.65 · most likely 0-0 (20%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Thu 5 Nov · · Round 10

Kigezi Homeboyz FC v Mbarara City

No estimate yet: too few stored results.

Kigezi Homeboyz FC
4 of 5
Mbarara City
4 of 5
League
41 of 40
Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Thu 5 Nov · · Round 10

Ntungasaze FC v Entebbe UPPC FC

Expected goals 0.28 to 2.14 · most likely 0-2 (20%) · from 5 and 5 matches

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 4 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Uganda Premier League on MatchDaySync

The table, the fixture list and every finished match for this competition.

Season overviewTableFixturesResults

Today's estimates

The other competitions with a fixture on the slate.

All competitions todayDaily research setMatches by day

League tables

Standings from the stored results, by competition and season.

Find a tableAll competitionsForm guide

The statistics behind the estimates

Rates, streaks and the check of the model against finished matches.

MethodModel checkGoal and card thresholdsForm guideTrends

Matches by day

Every stored fixture and result, by date.

Fixtures and resultsMatches by daySeason calendarWhere to watch

Streaks, referees and rankings

More counts from the stored matches.

StatisticsStreaksRefereesRankings

Clubs and competitions

Club pages carry form, fixtures and season figures.

ClubsCompetitionsCompare two clubsRankings

How to read these figures.

Statistics only, not advice. The full method, and what it leaves out, is on how the model works.

  • A prototype, labelled as one

    A historical reconstruction is published, but there is no record of estimates frozen and published before kickoff. Every figure retains its prototype label.

  • Read before kick-off

    Only season results stored before a fixture starts go in. Once a match kicks off it gets no figure, and nothing is revised after the result.

  • A sample, not a certainty

    No figure until each club has 5 league matches and the league 40. Small samples still swing hard: one odd result moves them.

Home winDrawAway win