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Derby v Burton, EFL League One, Mon, 15 Jan 2024: statistics and head to head

2023-24. Mon, 15 Jan 2024

DerbyHome
32Full time, half-time 1–0
BurtonAway

Derby won by 1 goal.

DDWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLWLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Pride Park Stadium. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Derby have 12 scored home results and Burton 13 scored away results stored in 2023-24. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Derby at home: 1.75 points per match (12 measured matches); Burton away: 0.69 points per match (13 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Derby scored 1.75 per home match (12 measured matches); Burton scored 0.54 away (13). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.29 per club appearance across 620 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 11 of 25 pooled club appearances (44.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 5. Derby: 3 wins; Burton: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half22

The match in numbers

DerbyBurton
  • 19Shots6
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 4Corners3
  • 10Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Derby

  • Shots19
  • On target7
  • Goals3

37% of shots on target, 43% of those scored.

Burton

  • Shots6
  • On target2
  • Goals2

33% of shots on target, 100% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

5 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Derby wins
1
Draws
1
Burton wins
Goals / meeting
2.20
11 goals in 5 meetings
Both scored
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
3 of 5 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
2 of 5 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
1 of 5 meetings
Derby clean sheets
60%
3 of 5 meetings
Burton clean sheets
0%
0 of 5 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.00
5 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.80
5 with card data
  1. Burton v DerbySat, 12 Aug 2023 · EFL League One 2023-240–3HT 0–1
  2. Derby v BurtonSat, 22 Apr 2023 · EFL League One 2022-231–0HT 0–0
  3. Burton v DerbySat, 10 Dec 2022 · EFL League One 2022-231–1HT 0–1
  4. Burton v DerbySat, 14 Apr 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-183–1HT 2–1
  5. Derby v BurtonSat, 2 Dec 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-181–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Derby at homeLDLLLD
Burton awayWLLWDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Derby at home, Burton away
  • 48%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 89%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 74%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 52%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 50%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 15%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.58
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 22%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9.4
    Corners per match
    League 10.31
    23 + 23 matches
  • 54%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 67%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 56%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 45%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.13
    23 + 23 matches
  • 61%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 60%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2023-24

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2023-24

Home and awayOverall
Derby at home, Burton away
Derby (home)Burton (away)
2Position20
WWWWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLDWL
23Played23
2.13Points per match0.91
65%Win %22%
1.78Scored / match0.74
0.78Conceded / match1.48
2.57Avg total goals2.22
52%Both scored44%
48%Clean sheets22%
4%Failed to score52%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

DerbyBurton
  • 0.701st half scored / match0.17
  • 0.171st half conceded / match0.74
  • 1.092nd half scored / match0.57
  • 0.612nd half conceded / match0.74
  • 43%Leading at half-time13%
  • 61%1st half over 0.570%
  • 22%1st half over 1.522%
  • 87%2nd half over 0.574%
  • 57%2nd half over 1.544%
  • 39%Scored in both halves13%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Derby at home, Burton away, this season.

Goals

DerbyBurton
  • 1.78Scored / match0.74
  • 0.78Conceded / match1.48
  • 2.57Match total / match2.22
  • 96%Scored 1+48%
  • 52%Scored 2+22%
  • 52%Conceded 1+78%
  • 22%Conceded 2+48%
  • 78%Match over 1.570%
  • 57%Match over 2.548%
  • 17%Match over 3.513%

Shots and xG

DerbyBurton
  • 12.87Shots for9.00
  • 8.00Shots against15.04
  • 4.17On target for2.57
  • 2.13On target against5.22
  • 14%Shot conversion8%

Corners

DerbyBurton
  • 6.48Corners for3.13
  • 4.26Corners against4.87
  • 10.74Match total8.00
  • 74%Over 7.557%
  • 70%Over 8.539%
  • 57%Over 9.530%
  • 52%Over 10.522%
  • 44%Over 11.513%

Cards

DerbyBurton
  • 1.65Cards for2.83
  • 2.00Cards against1.39
  • 3.65Match total4.22
  • 65%Over 2.578%
  • 48%Over 3.574%
  • 30%Over 4.544%
  • 17%Over 5.517%
  • 10.87Fouls committed12.39
Referee this season
B Toner
Matches
15
Cards / match
5.00
15 matches
Over 3.5 cards
73%
15 matches
Over 4.5 cards
73%
15 matches
Fouls / match
24.60
15 matches

The table, 2023-24

#ClubPGDPts
1Portsmouth463797
2Derby464192
3Bolton463587
4Peterboro462884
18Cambridge46-2248
19Shrewsbury46-3248
20Burton46-2846
21Cheltenham46-2444
22Fleetwood Town46-2343
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.